The MWC’s second-leading passer, Nick Stevens (1,486 yards, 13 TDs), and the Colorado State Rams meet third-leading rusher, Donnel Pumphrey (910 yards, 10 TDs), and the San Diego State Aztecs. It’s been a rough season for Colorado State (3-4), and after losing two of its last three, things haven’t gotten any better. The game starts at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, Oct 31 and will air on CBSS.
Colorado State beat Air Force 38-23 in their last game. Joe Hansley had an outstanding performance in the win, registering three receptions for 75 yards and two TDs. Nick Stevens had a big game as well, totaling 296 yards and three TDs through the air. San Diego State also got the win in last week’s performance, cruising past Utah State 48-14. Donnel Pumphrey had a big game on the ground for the Aztecs, gaining 181 yards and two TDs on 23 carries.
San Diego State is a slim two-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable at the moment.
The Rams enter the game with a record of 3-4 Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS) this season. Over their last five games, the Rams have records of 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS. Colorado State’s defense will look to improve its stats against the pass when the Aztecs come to town. San Diego State’s 142.9 passing yards per game ranks 120th in the nation.
Across the field, the Aztecs have 5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS records this season. The Aztecs went 4-1 for both SU and ATS over the last five games. If Colorado State’s earlier games are any indication, the Aztecs running backs will be busy. The Rams allow 205 rushing yards per game, ranking 107th in Division I. Colorado State will be matching up against a stout Aztecs defense which has been playing better. They only allowed 15 PPG over their last five matchups, well below their season average of 18.9. San Diego State’s 11th-ranked run defense has given its competition difficulty. Opponents have only run for 100.6 yards per game against this scary group. The Rams need to hold on to the ball if they want a shot against the turnover-minded Aztecs. The San Diego State defense generates 2.1 turnovers per game, 20th in the country.
Predictions: SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Diego State
Notes
Colorado State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
Colorado State is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games.
Colorado State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Colorado State is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home.
Colorado State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State’s last 6 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado State’s last 10 games when playing San Diego State.
Colorado State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Diego State.
Colorado State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego State.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State’s last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego State.
San Diego State is 5-1 SU when leading at the start of the 4th quarter this season. Colorado State is 3-0 SU when carrying a lead into the fourth quarter.
Remarkably, Colorado State is only 1-4 SU in games where it comes out ahead in the turnover battle, yet undefeated (2-0 SU) when losing the turnover battle.
