It will be a battle between MWC opponents when the New Mexico Lobos (9-12, 3-6 MWC) welcome the San Diego State Aztecs (13-8, 5-3 MWC) to Dreamstyle Arena. The game starts at 11 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 5, 2019, and will air on ESPN2.
San Diego State Aztecs at New Mexico Lobos Free Prediction
In the Aztecs’ last outing, they beat the San Jose State Spartans, 67-56. San Diego State’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over San Jose State. The Aztecs had a rate of 11.2 (better than their season average of 16.4), while the Spartans posted a mark of 17.9. San Diego State was lifted by Devin Watson, who was the game’s leading scorer with 27 points on 9-for-18 shooting.
The Lobos were beaten by the Fresno State Bulldogs in their last contest, 82-70. Fresno State’s offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over New Mexico. The Bulldogs had a rate of 34.2 (above their season average of 28.2), while the Lobos posted a mark of 25.5. With seven points and 15 rebounds, New Mexico’s Carlton Bragg had a good game.
This will be the second game of the season between these two squads. McDaniels scored a game-high 24 points in the first matchup, in which the Aztecs beat the Lobos 97-77. He also recorded 11 rebounds. The Aztecs had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (45.2 vs. 25.0) and had a much better turnover percentage (14.9 vs. 20.9).
Conflicting paces will be on display in this meeting. New Mexico prefers a fast-paced style of play (43rd in possessions per game), while San Diego State is methodical (244th in possessions per game).
San Diego State vs. New Mexico ATS Pick
College Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – New Mexico, ATS Winner – New Mexico, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
New Mexico ranks 31st in three pointers attempted per game (27.1) while San Diego State ranks 231st in three pointers allowed per game (24.9).
The Aztecs rank 39th in assists per game (15.7) while the Lobos rank 231st in assists allowed per game (15.6).
San Diego State ranks 73rd in rebounds allowed per game (33.2) while New Mexico ranks 236th (37.8).
The Aztecs rank 12th in blocks allowed per game (2.2) while the Lobos rank 77th (3.0).
San Diego State ranks 138th in steals per game (6.0) while New Mexico ranks 151st in steals allowed per game (6.9).
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The Aztecs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.8, up from 6.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Lobos have scored an average of 70.8 points per game (5.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 74.8 points per game (1.8 below their season average).
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