The San Francisco 49ers (+1) are set to face off against their NFC West nemesis Arizona Cardinals at University of Phoenix Stadium. FOX is scheduled to broadcast the action and this late afternoon matchup starts at 4:25 p.m. ET.
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals Betting Preview
In this Sunday NFC matchup, Arizona has been projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 1 point. The 49ers are also receiving -115 moneyline odds while the Cardinals are -105. It appears that there will probably be multiple good live betting opportunities for the game, and oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 43 points.
The betting odds have shifted slightly from when they were initially posted. The line opened at 0 and the game’s O/U was placed originally at 43.5.
The 49ers have lost 5.5 units so far in 2018 and are 2-5 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 5-2. The Cardinals have lost 5.0 units this season. The team is 3-4 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-4.
The 49ers have gone 1-6 straight up (SU), including 0-2 SU against NFC West opponents. The Cardinals are 1-6 SU overall and 1-2 SU against divisional foes.
The Niners dropped one to the Rams 39-10 in a Week 7 thumping where the passing game the primary culprit as C.J. Beathard completed just 15-of-27 passes for 170 yards, one score and two interceptions. Alfred Morris (only 25 rushing yards on nine attempts) and Raheem Mostert (59 yards on seven carries) led the ground attack while George Kittle (five receptions, 98 yards, one TD) and Mostert (four catches, 19 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
In Week 7, Denver knocked off this Arizona crew by a score of 45-10. The Cards defense allowed the Broncos to rush for 131 yards on 31 attempts, including two rush TDs. Emmanuel Sanders had a good outing for Denver, accounting for 102 yards on six catches. For Arizona, Josh Rosen completed 21-of-39 passes for 194 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. David Johnson (39 yards on 14 rush attempts) spearheaded the running game while Larry Fitzgerald (four receptions, 40 yards, one TD) and Chad Williams (four catches, 34 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.
San Francisco’s run the ball on 45.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Arizona has a rush percentage of 40.1 percent. The 49ers have produced 137 rush yards per game (including 127 per game versus West opponents) and have four touchdowns on the ground this year. The Cards are totaling 65 rush yards per game (67 in conference) and have five total rushing TDs.
If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then it seems like the 49ers could hold an advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has produced 5.0 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 4.0 to opponents. The Cardinals have ran for 3.2 yards per carry and given up 4.4 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Niners offensive scheme has averaged 254 yards through the air overall (260 per game versus conference opposition) and has 12 passing scores so far. The Cards have put up 174 pass yards per game (146.7 in the NFC) and have five total pass TDs.
San Francisco has allowed opponents to run for an average of 105 yards and pass for 279 yards per game. The Arizona defense has allowed 253.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 148.3 yards per game on the ground. The Cards are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.04 to opponents, while the 49ers have allowed a 7.76 ANY/A.
Offensively, Beathard has put up 817 passing yards on the year. He’s connected on 72-of-118 attempts with five passing scores and six interceptions. He’s got a 4.15 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 4.63 over the last two games.
Josh Rosen has connected on 50-of-98 passes for 580 yards, three TDs and four INTs for Arizona. His ANY/A stands at a very poor 3.72 for the season and 2.52 over his past two outings.
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Over/Under for San Francisco’s last game was set at 51.5. The under cashed in the team’s 39-10 loss to the Rams.
As a team, San Francisco has rushed for 4.9 yards per attempt over its past three outings and 5.2 over its last two.
Arizona has averaged 2.9 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.1 over its past two.
Arizona has lost six fumbles this season while San Francisco has let eight get away.
Over its last three matches, San Francisco is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Arizona’s last game was set at 42. The over cashed in the 45-10 defeat to Denver.
Over its last three games, Arizona is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
The 49ers offense has produced four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Cardinals have accounted for two such plays.
The San Francisco defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Arizona has given up three such plays.
The San Francisco offense has created seven rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Arizona has created one such runs.
The 49ers defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Cardinals have given up nine such runs.
The Arizona D has produced 20 sacks on the year while San Francisco has just 14.
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