The San Francisco 49ers (3-8) head to play the Chicago Bears (5-6) at Soldier Field this week. Chicago has won three of its last five, showing signs of life in what has been a relatively disappointing season. Kickoff is at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, Dec 6 and will air on FOX.
In last week’s game, Chicago defeated the Packers 17-13. Lamarr Houston led the defensive effort for Chicago in the victory, recording six tackles and one sack. San Francisco is hoping for a different outcome after losing to the Cardinals 19-13. Vance McDonald had a quality performance for the 49ers, pulling in six receptions for 71 yards and one TD. Blaine Gabbert had a great game as well, adding 318 yards and a TD through the air.
The 49ers are a six-point underdog against the Bears and the Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at 42 points.
Sitting at 5-6 Straight Up (SU) and 7-4 Against The Spread (ATS), the Bears will look to improve heading into Week 13. In their five most recent matchups, the Bears went 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS. Teams convert on a high percentage of passes against the 49ers. They allow a completion rate of 72.7% to their opponents during road games, last in the NFL. Crossing over to the defensive side of the ball, the Bears look to have a distinct advantage in certain spots. Expect the Bears defense to restrict San Francisco’s passing game. The Bears have the second-ranked pass defense in the NFL and give up 214.6 passing yards per game. The Bears hope to continue the trend of torching San Francisco’s defense during the second quarter, when they allow 9.3 points per game. With the fifth-highest time of possession per game at 32:40, expect Chicago to control the clock this week.
Across the field, the 49ers head into Week 13 with records of 5-6 ATS and 3-8 SU. Over their last five games, the 49ers have a SU record of 1-4 and a 2-3 record ATS. San Francisco isn’t a team that finds itself on the bad end of many calls. In fact, they average the fewest penalty yards in the league with 46 per game.
Predictions: SU Winner – Chi, ATS Winner – Chi, O/U – Over
Notes
Chicago is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago’s last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago’s last 11 games at home.
Chicago is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home.
Chicago is 6-16-1 ATS in its last 23 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago’s last 8 games when playing San Francisco.
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco.
Chicago is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing San Francisco.
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco.
San Francisco is 3-0 SU when leading at the start of the fourth quarter this season. Chicago is 2-1 SU when leading at the end of the third quarter.
This season, Chicago is 1-2 SU in games where it loses the turnover battle.
The Chicago ground attack is ranked 16th in the league, while the San Francisco rush defense is only ranked 25th. The 49ers’ rushing game is ranked 21st, compared to the 29th-ranked run defense of the Bears.
