The San Francisco Dons (22-15) take on the North Texas Mean Green (18-18) in the College Basketball Invitational at The Super Pit. The game can be seen on ESPNU at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 28, 2018.
North Texas is a 3.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 143 points.
San Francisco Dons vs. North Texas Mean Green Betting Prediction
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Foster had 17 points, 10 rebounds and six assists in the first game, in which the Dons defeated the Mean Green 72-62. The Dons had a better free throw rate (0.088 vs. 0.058) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.485 vs. 0.420).
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, North Texas figures to have a significant advantage. The Mean Green defense ranks 80th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.487), while the San Francisco offense is ranked 246th in effective field goal percentage (0.497).
San Francisco comes into the game with records of 22-15 straight up (SU) and 13-19 against the spread (ATS). Dons games have finished under the total 53.1 percent of the time.
Meanwhile, North Texas is 18-18 SU and 18-11 ATS. Vegas is known to place the total high when the Mean Green are involved, as 16 of their 32 games have gone under the O/U total.
Roosevelt Smart has averaged 24.2 points and 5.8 rebounds over the last five games for North Texas.
San Francisco Dons at North Texas Mean Green Odds Pick
Basketball Pick: SU Winner – North Texas, ATS Winner – San Francisco, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, San Francisco is 7-8 ATS with 8 overs and 7 unders.
At home, North Texas is 6-6 ATS with 6 overs and 6 unders.
San Francisco averages 3.6 blocks per game, which ranks 116th in the NCAA. North Texas ranks 215th in blocks allowed per game (4.1).
The Dons rank 12th in three pointers allowed per game (17.4) while the Mean Green rank 92nd (20.6).
North Texas averages 38.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 60th in the NCAA. San Francisco ranks 130th in rebounds allowed per game (34.2).
The Dons rank 190th in steals per game (5.5) while the Mean Green rank 236th (5.0).
San Francisco is 11th in the NCAA with 10.1 assists allowed per game while North Texas is 28th with 11.1 assists allowed per game.
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, San Francisco is 2-3 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
North Texas is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Dons have been outscored by an average of 1.2 points in their last five games. For the season, San Francisco has defeated opponents by an average of 0.8 points.
During their last five games, the Mean Green have scored an average of 80.0 points per game (5.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 70.4 points per game (1.0 below their season average).
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