The No. 7 Gonzaga Bulldogs (28-4, 18-1 WCC) square off against the San Francisco Dons (18-14, 10-9 WCC) in the West Coast Conference Tourney at Orleans Arena. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, March 5, 2018, and will air on ESPN.
Gonzaga opened as a 13-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 140.5 points.
San Francisco Dons vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs Free Prediction
The Dons come in on a high note after barely hanging on to beat the Pacific Tigers in their last matchup, 71-70. The Dons, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.497, had a solid mark of 0.550 and held the Tigers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 21.9 (below their season average of 30.6). Frankie Ferrari played a pivotal role for San Francisco with 17 points and eight assists.
In the Bulldogs’ last game, they defeated the Loyola Marymount Lions, 83-69. The Bulldogs held the Lions to an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.0 (below their season average of 35.3) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.735 (above their season average of 0.572). With 20 points and 10 rebounds, Gonzaga’s Johnathan Williams put together a solid performance.
The prolific offense of Gonzaga will square off against the mid-tier defense of San Francisco. The Bulldogs rank second in offensive efficiency, while the Dons are 126th in defensive efficiency. The Bulldogs figure to have the edge on that side of the ball.
San Francisco comes into the game with records of 18-14 straight up (SU) and 12-16 against the spread (ATS). Of the Dons’ 28 games that accepted bets, 16 have finished under the total.
Gonzaga has an outstanding 28-4 SU record, but they are just 12-17 ATS. Bulldogs games also have a slight tendency to go under the total (51.7 percent).
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Ferrari (17.4 points and 7.0 assists) has been great for the Dons while Williams (13.8 points, 10.2 rebounds and 1.6 blocks) has made solid contributions to the Bulldogs.
The Bulldogs have won both contests against the Dons this season, including a nine-point victory the last time these teams met. Gonzaga was unable to cover as a 19-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 155 points, which was 12.5 points above the projected point total of 142.5 points. The Bulldogs knocked down 19 of their 23 free throws (82.6 percent) and had a much better turnover percentage (10.8 vs. 19.0). Killian Tillie was the game’s top overall scorer with 16 points.
San Francisco Dons vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs ATS Pick
Free College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Gonzaga, ATS Winner – San Francisco, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Gonzaga ranks 13th in rebounds per game (39.9) while San Francisco ranks 178th (34.6).
The Bulldogs rank 33rd in blocks allowed per game (2.6) while the Dons rank 169th (4.1).
Gonzaga ranks 43rd in assists per game (15.8) while San Francisco ranks 167th (13.3).
The Dons rank eighth in three pointers allowed per game (16.6) while the Bulldogs rank 110th (20.9).
Gonzaga ranks 23rd in steals allowed per game (5.0) while San Francisco ranks 63rd (5.6).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, San Francisco is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Gonzaga is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Dons’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.8, up from 1.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bulldogs have scored an average of 79.2 points per game (5.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 63.8 points per game (4.0 below their season average).
