The San Francisco Giants will head east to play their divisional rival Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The game gets underway 9:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast the matchup.
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
San Francisco (+125) is hosting this one as the underdog to Arizona (-135) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). The game’s runline odds stand at -170 for taking the Giants +1.5 runs and +150 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.
The Giants are 6-9 SU and have gone 9-6 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going, despite having gained 2.3 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 11-4 SU and 9-6 ATS. The team has gained 8.5 units for moneyline bettors and 3.2 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Arizona games have had an over/under record of 9-6 so far in 2018. The Giants have an over/under record of 8-7.
The right-handed Johnny Cueto (1-0, 0.69 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Giants. Cueto recorded 136 strikeouts over 147 innings last year (with 53 walks) but finished the season 8-8 overall with a 4.52 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP. He made two starts against Arizona in 2017 and compiled a 2-0 record against the Diamondbacks with a 4.91 ERA and 13 strikeouts.
The D-backs are rolling with lefty Patrick Corbin (2-0, 2.45 ERA) as their starter. Corbin recorded 178 strikeouts over 189 innings last year (with 61 walks). Corbin finished the season 14-13 overall with a 4.03 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. He recorded three starts against San Francisco a year ago and put up a 1-2 record with a 2.65 ERA and 19 strikeouts.
As a unit, Arizona’s pitching staff has allowed 3.4 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.95, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.8. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 1.92, a WHIP of 1.05 and a K/9 of 8.6. In 12 games against NL West foes, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 4.02 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.28.
The Arizona offense has produced 5.1 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .227/.289/.483 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Diamondbacks’ hitters have been led by left fielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Peralta is slashing .340/.431/.540 with 17 hits, six RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Goldschmidt’s line is .241/.388/.537 with four homers, 10 RBIs and 13 runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .298/.405/.560, Goldschmidt performed well against righties at home last season, producing .324/.430/.638 across 249 plate appearances.
For the visitors, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.97 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 6.47 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.34, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K-per-9 of 9.85.
The Giants offense has slashed .244/.302/.362 on its way to 3.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Joe Panik and catcher Buster Posey have led San Francisco’s hitters. Panik is slashing .304/.371/.500 with 17 hits, four RBIs and eight runs scored, while Posey is hitting .313/.370/.500 with 15 hits, two homers, eight RBIs and five runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .288/.349/.421, Panik enjoyed batting against lefties on the road in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .374/.437/.451 across 103 such plate appearances.
The Giants have gained 0.0 units and are 6-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 1.2 units and are 4-3 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to three that went under.
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Giants have lost four of their last five games SU.
San Francisco has posted 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.0 over its last five.
The Giants have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 12 over their last 10.
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