The struggling Cincinnati Reds will try to avoid losing their fifth in a row when they play host to the San Francisco Giants at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Ohio will be televising this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Cincinnati (+100) as the underdog to San Francisco (-110). The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for +100. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at +135 for the Giants -1.5 runs and -155 for the Reds +1.5.
The Reds are 69-52 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 52-69 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 6.6 units for moneyline bettors while earning 4.6 units (ATS). Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Giants are 61-61 SU and have gone 68-54 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 7.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.9 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Reds games have an over/under record of 64-53-4 in 2018. The Giants have been a decent under bet with a total record of 55-62-5.
Right-hander Casey Kelly is the projected starter for San Francisco. Kelly (0-1, 1.42 ERA) has recorded three strikeouts in 6.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Reds will send righty Anthony DeSclafani (6-3, 4.46 ERA) to the mound. DeSclafani has 59 strikeouts and 18 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.22. DeSclafani did not pitch in the majors in 2017.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have yielded 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.28, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.15 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 7.8 K/9.
Cincinnati’s offense has produced 4.5 runs per contest, including 2.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .247/.328/.398 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Reds’ offense has been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is slashing .305/.356/.482 with 18 home runs, 70 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while Peraza is batting .286 with six homers, 39 RBIs, 63 runs and 18 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.16 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 7.23 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.64, along with a WHIP of 1.35.
Giants hitters have slashed .249/.315/.386 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Shortstop Brandon Crawford and outfielder Andrew McCutchen continue to lead San Francisco’s offense. Crawford is hitting .274/.345/.428 with 11 home runs, 45 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while McCutchen (.253/.353/.415) is up to 14 homers, 52 RBIs and 59 runs scored.
The Giants have gained 5.0 units and are 41-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 12.1 units and are 49-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 46 of those games, as opposed to 41 which went under the total.
San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in only two of San Francisco’s last seven games.
The Giants have hit four home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit six over their last 10.
Cincinnati has averaged 19.1 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 19.4 over its last five.
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