The Philadelphia Phillies will face off against the San Francisco Giants at Citizens Bank Park. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia will broadcast this NL matchup.
San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Vegas has placed equal moneyline odds (-105) on both of these teams. The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 or the under for +100. The game’s current runline odds stand at +140 for taking the Giants -1.5 runs and -160 for the Phillies +1.5.
The Giants are 19-15 SU and are 22-11 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.7 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 10.1 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 18-15 SU and 12-20 ATS. The team’s gained 2.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 11.7 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 15-14-3 so far in 2018. San Francisco has an over/under record of 17-16.
The right-handed Jeff Samardzija is getting the nod for the visiting Giants. Samardzija is 1-1 with a 5.27 ERA and 12 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 6.00 ERA and six strikeouts over six innings).
The Phillies will put the ball in the right hand of Zach Eflin (0-0, 1.50 ERA), who has four strikeouts and zero walks as well as a 0.50 WHIP. Eflin only made one start against the Giants in 2017 (0-1, 10.80 ERA and two strikeouts across five innings).
Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.03, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.19, a WHIP of 1.28 and a K/9 of 9.2.
The Philadelphia hitters have produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .243/.309/.407 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Outfielders Rhys Hoskins and Odubel Herrera have led the Phillies’ batters this year. Hoskins is hitting .282/.429/.509 with five home runs, 23 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Herrera is batting .333 with three homers, 15 RBIs and 16 runs.
In the visiting dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.81 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.27 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.58, along with a K-per-9 of 7.83.
Giants hitters have slashed .254/.320/.396 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this season, including 6.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
San Francisco’s hitters have been led by first baseman Brandon Belt and catcher Buster Posey. Belt is hitting .298/.422/.548 with six home runs, 17 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Posey (.307/.377/.436) is up to two homers, 14 RBIs and 14 runs scored.
Posey didn’t seem to enjoy batting against righty pitching on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .276/.357/.400 across 210 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .320/.400/.462).
The Giants have lost 0.5 units and are 9-6 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 0.2 units and are 8-16 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 10 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under.
San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Giants have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 11 over their last 10.
Philadelphia has posted 19.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.6 over its last five.
The Giants have won seven of their last eight games SU.
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