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San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Free Pick 04/15/18

Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants are ready to face their division rival San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The matchup will begin at 4:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will be televising the game.

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Odds

San Francisco (+105) is the underdog against San Diego (-115) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -200 for the Giants +1.5 runs and +170 for the Padres -1.5.

The Giants are 6-8 SU and have gone 8-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 0.9 units for moneyline gamblers this year and 3.0 units ATS. The Padres are 6-10 SU and 7-8 ATS. The team’s lost 2.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.9 units ATS.

Padres games have had an over/under record of 5-9-1 so far in 2018. The Giants have an over/under record of 6-7.

The Giants have gained 2.0 units and are 5-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 4.0 units and are 4-6 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in three of those games, compared to six that went under.

The right-handed Tyler Beede is getting the nod for the visiting Giants. Beede is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA and three strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Padres are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Joey Lucchesi (1-0, 1.72 ERA), who’s got 16 strikeouts and four walks, as well as a 1.02 WHIP. Lucchesi did not pitch in the majors in 2017.

As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.26, a WHIP of 1.57 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 1.93, a WHIP of 0.99 and a K/9 of 10.3. In 10 games against NL West opponents, Padres starters have an ERA of 4.50 and the bullpen’s ERA is 1.76.

San Diego’s hitters are putting up 3.5 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .221/.287/.393 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer have led the Padres’ batters so far. Villanueva is hitting .270/.372/.676 with 10 hits, eight RBIs and six runs scored, and Hosmer’s line is .288/.364/.458 with 17 hits, three RBIs and seven runs.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .318/.385/.498, Hosmer enjoyed hitting against righties at home last year, producing .354/.439/.615 across 221 plate appearances.

In the visiting dugout, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.57 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 6.07 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.92, along with a K-per-9 of 9.63.

Giants hitters have slashed .246/.306/.368 on their way to 3.2 runs scored per game this year, including 2.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

San Francisco’s offensive production been led by second baseman Joe Panik and catcher Buster Posey. Panik is hitting .327/.397/.538 with 17 hits, four RBIs and eight runs scored, while Posey (.313/.370/.500) is up to 15 hits, two homers, eight RBIs and five runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .288/.349/.421, Panik performed well against lefties on the road in 2017, putting up a slash line of .374/.437/.451 across 103 such plate appearances.

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in three of San Francisco’s last seven games.

The Giants have lost three of their last four games SU.

San Diego has posted 18.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.2 over its last five.

The Giants have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 10 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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