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San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Matchup 09/18/18

Neville E. Guard-USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego Padres are facing off against the San Francisco Giants at PETCO Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will be airing the matchup.

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Odds

San Francisco (+115) is entering this game as the underdog against San Diego (-125) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -180 for the Giants +1.5 runs and +160 for the Padres -1.5.

The Padres are 60-91 straight up (SU) and 72-78 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.9 units for moneyline bettors and 28.4 units (ATS). San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Giants have gone 71-80 SU this year and are 82-68 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 2.4 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 9.8 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven.

Padres games have a 72-73-5 over/under record in 2018. San Francisco has been a great under bet with a total record of 61-83-6.

The southpaw Derek Holland is the projected starter for the visiting Giants. Holland (7-8, 3.46 ERA) has racked up 159 strikeouts in 158.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 4.91 ERA against San Diego this year (three starts).

The Padres will turn to lefty Joey Lucchesi (8-8, 3.67 ERA) to the mound. Lucchesi has 123 punchouts and 40 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Lucchesi is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against San Francisco this year.

San Diego’s pitching staff has yielded 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.14, a WHIP of 1.47 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 3.52 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 65 divisional games, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.52 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.30.

The San Diego offense is putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .214/.309/.371 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Padres’ hitters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is slashing .249/.314/.398 with 17 home runs, 65 RBIs and 69 runs scored, and Galvis is hitting .233 with 11 homers, 61 RBIs and 53 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.89 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.15 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.60, along with a WHIP of 1.29 and a K-per-9 of 8.81.

The Giants offense has slashed .241/.305/.373 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

San Francisco’s hitters have been led by shortstop Brandon Crawford and outfielder Andrew McCutchen. Crawford is slashing .255/.320/.395 with 13 home runs, 52 RBIs and 58 runs scored, while McCutchen (.255/.357/.415) has produced 15 homers, 55 RBIs, 65 runs and 13 stolen bases.

The Giants have gained 1.1 units and are 32-26 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 26 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 12.8 units and are 19-30 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 28 of those games, as opposed to 19 which went under the total.

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

San Francisco has tallied nine extra-base hits over its last five outings. San Diego has 12 XBH over its last five.

The Giants have hit five home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 15 over their last 10.

San Diego has recorded 19.4 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.0 over its last five.

The Giants have won three of their last four games SU.

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