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San Francisco Giants at Seattle Mariners Free Pick 07/25/18

Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants will be facing off against the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. This interleague matchup gets going at 4:10 p.m. ET and you can catch the game on FB.

San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

The Mariners are 60-41 straight up (SU) and 51-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 15.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.2 units (ATS). Seattle has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Giants have gone 52-50 SU this year and are 56-45 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 6.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.2 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven.

Mariners games have an over/under record of 48-50-2 in 2018. San Francisco has an over/under record of 47-51-3.

Left-hander Derek Holland will get the start for the visiting Giants. Holland (5-8, 4.06 ERA) has recorded 105 punchouts in 102 innings so far. He has yet to face Seattle this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-0 record with a 3.95 ERA and nine strikeouts.

The Mariners will put the ball in the right hand of Mike Leake (8-6, 4.22 ERA), who’s got 75 punchouts and 29 walks this season as well as a 1.33 WHIP. Leake did not record a start against the Giants in 2017.

Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.06 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.87 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

The Seattle offense has produced 4.2 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .231/.290/.321 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon have led the Mariners’ offense this year. Segura is hitting .320/.350/.452 with seven home runs, 47 RBIs, 68 runs and 15 stolen bases, and Gordon’s line sits at .286/.304/.352 with 108 hits, 22 RBIs, 45 runs and 22 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.25 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 7.14 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.57, along with a WHIP of 1.35 and a K-per-9 of 8.69.

The Giants offense has slashed .251/.317/.394 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

San Francisco’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Brandon Crawford and outfielder Andrew McCutchen, who’ve collectively blasted 20 home runs. Crawford is hitting .284/.355/.446 with 10 home runs, 40 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while McCutchen (.260/.351/.415) is up to 10 homers, 42 RBIs, 51 runs and nine steals.

The Giants have gained 8.4 units and are 36-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 25 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have lost 3.9 units and are 16-15 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under.

San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in three of San Francisco’s last seven games.

San Francisco has recorded 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.4 over its last five.

The Giants have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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