David Phelps (5-5, 2.45 ERA) gets the ball for the Miami Marlins (60-53) as they meet Jeff Samardzija (9-8, 4.40 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (64-49) in the last of a three-game series at Marlins Park. The Marlins won the last game 2-0, and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 12:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 10 and will air on CSBA.
In his last start, Phelps pitched 4.1 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out four and walking one in a 5-3 victory over the Rockies. Giancarlo Stanton (.243, 51 Rs, 24 HRs, 67 RBIs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one RBI. The Giants were unsuccessful against the Nationals 5-1 the last time Samardzija pitched. He went 7.0 innings, giving up five runs, striking out five and walking two.
Miami, a -132 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against San Francisco. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. The Marlins are 28-26 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +310. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Marlins has gone great. Over that span, Miami is averaging 5.6 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.3. Miami’s pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 5.8 during that span, compared to its 4.2 season average.
Switching gears, the Giants come into this game with a win percentage of .450 when playing as the underdog (18-22) and an overall money line of +309. San Francisco has an eye for the strike zone, ranking third in the NL with 3.6 walks per game. The Giants are one of the top pitching staffs in the NL, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of 4.0 runs allowed per game. They have a WHIP of 1.216 on the year, good for fourth in the league.
In their previous five games this season, the Giants have a 3-2 record. The Marlins will take on a right-hander (Samardzija) in this game and have a 41-46 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Giants will be the right-hander Phelps. They sport a 40-34 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – SF, O/U – Over
Notes
Miami has won 50% (25-25) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, San Francisco has won 57% (23-17) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Giants didn’t score any runs in their last game. The Marlins have an 8-0 record when they don’t allow any runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Giants are 45-12. The Marlins have a 50-12 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st in runs, Miami has earned 487 this season. San Francisco ranks 14th with 504 runs.
Ranking 21st, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 323 this season. San Francisco ranks in the top five at fourth with 412.
The Marlins are 43-26 when they hit at least one home run. The Giants perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 40-23 record.
