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San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

Chris Heston (6-4, 3.77 ERA), who delivered a no-hitter in his most recent start, gets the start again for the San Francisco Giants (34-29) as they go up against Rubby De La Rosa (4-3, 5.84 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (29-32) in the last of a three-game series at AT&T Park. The Diamondbacks won the last game 4-2 and Arizona leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 14 and will air on FSN-AZ and CSN-BAY.

Heston is 2-0 with a 0.66 ERA against the Diamondbacks in his career, but is up against a solid Arizona offense that’s hitting .264 on the year. Joe Panik (.317, 34 Rs, 6 HRs, 25 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run. In his career against the Giants, De La Rosa is 1-1 with a 6.62 ERA. He meets a strong San Francisco offense that’s batting .270. Paul Goldschmidt (.355, 47 Rs, 17 HRs, 50 RBIs, 9 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Diamondbacks, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.

San Francisco, a -153 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Arizona. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. The Giants are 16-17 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +315. They have a 16-17 record SU and are 4-11 as favorite within their division. San Francisco has averaged 3.4 runs per game during divisional play, lower than its season average of 4.1. The Giants lead the NL in hits with 9.4 per game. They typically aren’t overmatched by pitchers, leading the NL with an average of only 6.1 strikeouts per home game.

On the other side, the Diamondbacks have a record of 18-23 when they are the underdog and are -120 overall with the money line. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-5 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 5-5. The Diamondbacks have racked up 54 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. Arizona’s pitching staff and defense as a whole has been firing on all cylinders so far, ranking fifth in the NL with only four runs allowed per road game.

The Diamondbacks have mostly come out on top against the Giants in their previous nine games this season, earning a 6-3 record. This game will feature De La Rosa (RHP) on the mound against the Giants, who have a 26-23 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Diamondbacks will be the right-hander Heston. They sport a 21-24 record against righties.

Predictions: SU Winner – SF, O/U – Over

Notes

When leading after 7 innings, Arizona is 13-6, while San Francisco is 10-9.

The Giants managed to give up five walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Diamondbacks who are coming in with a 7-6 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.

It looks like the Diamondbacks have a slight leg up on the Giants, as the Diamondbacks have won their last two games while the Giants have lost their last three.

When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 19-7. The Giants have a 29-5 record when outhitting opponents.

Ranking 14th, San Francisco is in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 258 this season. Arizona ranks in the top five at fourth with 279.

Ranking 16th, San Francisco is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 180 this season. Arizona ranks in the top half at 15th with 186.

The Giants are 23-11 when they hit at least one home run. The Diamondbacks perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 21-13 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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