Tim Hudson (0-1, 2.02 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (4-9) meet Jeremy Hellickson (0-2, 6.55 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (6-6) in the last of a four-game division series at AT&T Park. The Giants won the last game 4-1 and Arizona leads the series 2-1. The game gets underway at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Apr. 19 and will air on FSN-AZ and CSN-BAY.
Hudson is 9-1 with a 2.01 ERA against the Diamondbacks in his career, but is up against a strong Arizona offense that’s hitting .255 on the year. In his career against the Giants, Hellickson is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA, 2.54 WHIP, and two strikeouts. Jake Lamb (.414, 4 Rs, 1 HR, 9 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
San Francisco is a -148 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Giants perform poorly as a favorite with a 1-5 record and have an overall money line of -754. They have struggled as the favorite over their last 10 games, going 0-5. They typically aren’t overmatched by pitchers, ranking third in the NL with an average of only 7.1 strikeouts per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Diamondbacks come into this game with a win percentage of .556 when playing as the underdog (5-4) and an overall money line of +300. Against divisional foes, they are 6-5 SU and 5-4 as the underdog. They sport the second-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 4.9 runs per game. One of the top hitting teams in the NL are the Diamondbacks, who average 9.3 hits per game. The Diamondbacks are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.52 ERA on the road this season.
This game will feature Hellickson (RHP) on the mound against the Giants, who have not won a game (0-4) when they take on a right-handed starter ay home. The right-handed Hudson will take the mound against the Diamondbacks, who have a 3-4 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – ARI, O/U – Over
Notes
San Francisco has lost all of its games (0-4) when leading after 7 innings. However, Arizona has won 67% (4-2) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Giants are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Diamondbacks have a 0-3 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Giants are 1-5. The Diamondbacks have a 2-5 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total home runs this season, San Francisco ranks 24th with eight homers and Arizona is 21st with nine.
Ranking eighth, San Francisco is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 7.75 per game. Arizona ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.27.
Ranking 21st, San Francisco is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.641). Arizona ranks in the top half at 12th with an OPS of .703.
When the Diamondbacks allow at least one home run, they are 4-5. When the Giants allow one or more homers, they have a 1-4 record.
