The San Francisco Giants will be taking on the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. This NL matchup will get underway at 1:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio will broadcast the game.
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Oddsmakers have put identical -105 moneyline odds on both of these teams. Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 8.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Giants -1.5 runs (+140) and Reds +1.5 runs (-160).
The Reds are 69-53 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 54-69 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 5.6 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.6 units (ATS). Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Giants, on the other hand, are 61-63 SU and have gone 69-54 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 6.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 13.9 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Cincinnati games have a 64-54-4 over/under record in 2018. Giants games have gone under 63 times, gone over 55 times and pushed on five instances.
Andrew Suarez will get the nod for the visiting Giants. The left-handed Suarez is 4-8 with a 4.40 ERA and 100 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds are sending righty Luis Castillo (6-10, 5.04 ERA) to the mound. Castillo has 120 strikeouts and 40 walks to his name, as well as a 1.32 WHIP. Castillo hasn’t faced the Giants yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.18 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.23 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.61, along with a WHIP of 1.36 and a K/9 of 8.69.
The Giants offense has slashed .248/.314/.384 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
San Francisco’s offensive production has been powered by right fielder Andrew McCutchen and shortstop Brandon Crawford. McCutchen is slashing .257/.354/.415 with 14 home runs, 53 RBIs and 60 runs scored, while Crawford (.269/.339/.420) is up to 11 homers, 45 RBIs and 52 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.18, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.12 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 7.8 K/9.
The Cincinnati offense has put up 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .269/.330/.474 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have led the Reds’ batters this year. Gennett is slashing .313/.362/.490 with 18 home runs, 70 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Peraza’s line is .289/.331/.403 with seven homers, 40 RBIs, 65 runs and 18 steals.
The Giants have gained 4.0 units and are 42-31 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Reds have netted 5.5 units and are 20-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 12 that went under the total.
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
San Francisco has logged four extra-base hits over its last five games. Cincinnati has 21 XBH over its last five.
San Francisco has posted 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.8 over its last five.
The Giants have hit two home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit nine over their last 10.
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