Jake Peavy (7-6, 3.66 ERA) and Chris Rusin (6-9, 5.37 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the San Francisco Giants (83-77) and the Colorado Rockies (67-93) at AT&T Park. The Rockies won the last game 9-3 and Colorado leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 4:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Oct. 3 and can be seen on CSBy.
Peavy pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering one run, striking out four and walking one in a 3-2 defeat to the Dodgers. Rusin went 5.1 innings, surrendering three runs (one unearned), striking out three and walking three in a 12-5 win over the Dodgers in his most recent start. Nolan Arenado (.287, 96 Rs, 42 HRs, 130 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Rockies, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and three RBIs.
San Francisco is a -174 favorite against Colorado and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Giants have an overall money line of -43 and a record as the favorite of 46-34. San Francisco has gone winless in its last 10 as the favorite. The Giants have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the NL in offense with 4.3 runs per game. The Giants are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits with an impressive 9.2 per game. San Francisco’s batters do not strike out very often, with only 7.2 per game. As for the pitchers, opposing offenses that come to AT&T Park have been stifled by the Giants, who have a team ERA of only 3.15 at home. The Giants are the top team in the NL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 7.9 hits per contest to their opponents this season.
In the other locker room, Colorado is coming in with an overall money line of -1,309 and a disappointing record of 48-73 as the underdog. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 23-34 record against NL West opponents, and a 4-6 record SU. Offensively, they average 4.5 runs per game, which is tops in the NL. The Rockies have a dynamic offense, ranking third in the league with 504 extra base hits.
The Rockies lead the season series, 10-7. The Giants have a 20-22 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Rusin takes the mound. Peavy (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rockies, who have a 57-64 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – SF, O/U – Over
Notes
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco’s last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco’s last 8 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco’s last 9 games when playing Colorado.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado.
San Francisco is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado.
The Giants are an even 37-37 against the division, while the Rockies sit at 31-43.
The Giants are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Rockies have a 32-59 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Giants are 5-51. The Rockies have an 11-68 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 27th in home runs, San Francisco has hit 133 this season. Colorado ranks sixth with 184 home runs.
San Francisco and Colorado both rank in the top five of the league in hits. San Francisco sits at second with 9.17 hits per game and Colorado ranks third with 9.16.
Ranking 11th, San Francisco is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.733). Colorado ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .751.
The Rockies are 34-71 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Giants are 38-56 when they allow at least one homer.
