The Houston Astros are playing host to the San Francisco Giants at Minute Maid Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and ATTSN Southwest will be showing this interleague matchup.
San Francisco Giants at Houston Astros Odds
Houston (-270) is favored over San Francisco (+235) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at +110 for the Giants +1.5 runs and -130 for the Astros -1.5.
The Giants have gone 24-24 SU this year and are 29-19 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.5 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 7.5 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 30-18 SU and 26-22 ATS. They’ve lost 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 2.0 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Astros games have an over/under record of 15-30-3 so far in 2018. San Francisco has an over/under record of 25-21-2.
The left-handed Andrew Suarez will get the nod for the visiting Giants. Suarez is 1-3 with a 4.88 ERA and 28 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Astros this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Astros are putting the ball in the right hand of Gerrit Cole (4-1, 1.75 ERA), who’s got 93 strikeouts and 14 walks as well as a 0.79 WHIP. Cole made two starts against the Giants in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record with a 7.15 ERA.
As a unit, Houston’s pitching staff has given up 2.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 2.25 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.89, a WHIP of 1.05 and a K/9 of 9.9.
The Houston offense has produced 4.6 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .247/.287/.414 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Astros’ batters have been led by shortstop Carlos Correa and right fielder George Springer. Correa is hitting .274/.364/.494 with eight home runs, 31 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Springer is batting .292 with nine homers, 28 RBIs and 34 runs scored.
Correa seemed to enjoy hitting lefty pitching last year. In 105 plate appearances, he slashed .391/.457/.609 (compared to his overall season line of .315/.391/.550).
In the visiting dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.55 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 6.94 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.01, along with a K-per-9 of 8.65.
The Giants offense has slashed .261/.322/.412 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
First baseman Brandon Belt and catcher Buster Posey have led San Francisco’s hitters. Belt is hitting .313/.413/.594 with 11 home runs, 29 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Posey (.306/.380/.431) has produced two homers, 15 RBIs and 20 runs scored.
Putting up a slash line of .276/.357/.400 across 210 plate appearances, Posey did not do especially well against right-handed pitching on the road last year (his total season line was .320/.400/.462).
The Giants have lost 3.5 units and are 15-13 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 3.5 units and are 8-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in five of those games, compared to 10 which went under the total.
San Francisco Giants vs. Houston Astros Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Each team has hit 13 home runs over its last 10 games.
Houston has recorded 18.3 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.6 over its last five.
The Astros have won four of their last five games SU.
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