The New York Mets are facing off against the San Francisco Giants at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will broadcast this NL showdown and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets Odds
New York (-160) is favored over San Francisco (+150) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -145 for the Giants +1.5 runs and +125 for the Mets -1.5 runs.
The Giants are 62-65 SU and are 70-56 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 5.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.8 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 55-70 SU and 57-66 ATS. The team’s lost 17.5 units for moneyline bettors and 15.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Mets games have an over/under record of 54-63-6 in 2018. The Giants have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 56-65-5.
Casey Kelly is getting the start for the visiting Giants. The right-handed Kelly is 0-1 with a 1.69 ERA and five strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mets will turn to righty Noah Syndergaard (8-3, 3.40 ERA), who has 105 strikeouts and 21 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.25. Syndergaard did not record a start against the Giants in 2017.
New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.99 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.70 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.
The New York hitters have put up 4.2 runs per outing, including 7.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .244/.284/.333 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ offense this year. Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Rosario is batting .244 with six homers, 40 RBIs, 55 runs and 14 stolen bases.
For the visiting squad, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.20 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.24 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.65, along with a K-per-9 of 8.66.
The Giants offense has slashed .246/.311/.381 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this season, including 2.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
San Francisco’s hitters have been paced by outfielder Andrew McCutchen and shortstop Brandon Crawford, who have combined to belt 25 home runs. McCutchen is hitting .255/.353/.412 with 14 home runs, 53 RBIs, 62 runs and 11 steals, while Crawford (.266/.336/.413) has produced 11 homers, 45 RBIs and 53 runs scored.
The Giants have gained 2.5 units and are 43-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 11.3 units and are 43-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, compared to 46 that went under.
San Francisco Giants at New York Mets Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in three of New York’s last seven games.
The Giants have hit two home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 13 over their last 10.
San Francisco has posted 16.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.6 over its last five.
The Mets have won three of their last four games SU.
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