Another interesting and important match-up in Round 30 of German Bundesliga will be played on second day of the weekend at Schwarzwald-Stadium in Freiburg where the hosts SC Freiburg will welcome Bayer Leverkusen. This one is certainly an exciting match-up as the hosts are not too far from taking the European competition spot, while the visitors have been struggling in form throughout the season. The visitors played in the Champions league this season, but now they are fighting for the Bundesliga status and are definitely going to battle hard in every game following. Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen played 1:1 in the first meeting of the season. Watch out, some easy betting tips ahead so let’s take a closer look at the analysis that we have prepared for you.
SC FREIBURG vs. BAYER LEVERKUSEN
3-Way: 1: SC Freiburg +259 Home; X: +271 Draw; Bayer Leverkusen +129 Away
Spread +0.5: SC Freiburg -120; Bayer Leverkusen +116
Total +2.5: Over -115; Under +112
SC FREIBURG
The SC Freiburg is still in the game for one of the spots that lead in to European competitions next year besides their poor recent form. Team ranks seventh in the league table with 41 points in 29 games, same number of points as FC Koln that ranks sixth (spot that leads to Europa League next year) and a win in the next game would be of great importance. They are 3-2-3 in last eight games and 1-1-2 in last four home matches.
Overall record at home is 8-1-5 with 18-22 goal difference (36-51 overall) and they rank eighth in the home league table with 25 of 32 possible points earned. SC Freiburg scores 1.29 and concedes 1.57 goals per game at home (1.24-1.76 overall) and 69% of their matches had over 2.5 goals scored in total. 6$% of their home matches had over 2.5 goals but only 21% of their home games had over 3.5 goals in total. Only two games so far had over 2.5 goals at half-time. In 36% of the matches at Dreimsamstadion SC Freiburg conceded at least one goal in both halves while they managed to score in both halves in only 14% of home games. Most common result at home is a 1:0 win (occurred four times) and most common result at the half-time was 0:0 (occurred five times).
Florian Niederlechner tops the team in scoring with nine goals while Nils Petersen and Maximilian Philipp hae eight each in their accounts. Midfielder Vincenzo Grifo is the team’s leading assister with six while Petersen collected four so far. Passing segment belongs to Nicolas Hofler and Christian Gunter with 916 and 816 total passes. Goalkeeper Alexander Schowlow played in every game of the season for the team and collected 75 saves and has five games with clean sheets.
Vicenzo Grifo (knee) will be back in early May while Maximilian Philipp should also be ready in a few weeks. Marc Torrejon Moya’s (groin) status is unknown while Manuel Gulde (calf), Jonas Fohrenbach (knee, nose) and Vincent Sierro (Achilles tendon) all have light injuries but are listed as doubtful for Sunday game.
BAYER LEVERKUSEN
The Bayer Leverkusen continues to underperform this season as they are still in the danger zone and worries about survival are not yet silenced. Team does rank 12th with 36 points in 29 games but they have only four points more than FC Augsburg that is ranked 16th (spot that leads to Zweite Bundesliga next season).
Also, to be fair, they are only five points below the spot that leads to Europa League next season so from Bayer’s point of view, everything is possible in last five rounds. When it comes to their recent form, things are not encouraging as they have only one win in last eight games (1-3-4) and they are also 1-0-3 in last four road matches. Overall road record is 5-1-8 with 18-22 goal difference (42-44 overall) and they rank sixth in the away league table with 16 of 42 possible points earned.
Leverkusen scores 1.29 and concedes 1.57 goals per match on the road this season (1.45-1.52 overall) and 71% of their road games had over 1.5 goals in total. 57% of their away games had over 2.5 goals but only 21% of their road matches had over 3.5 goals in total. 10% of Bayer’s total matches had over 2.5 goals at half-time and 64% of their away games had both teams scoring at least one goal. IN 29% of their road games Leverkusen conceded at least one goal in both halves and in 21% of their away matches they scored at least one goal in both halves. Most common results on the road are 2-1 loss (occurred four times) and 1:0 loss (occurred three times) while most common result at half-time was 0:0 (occurred five times).
Javier Chicharito Hernandez tops the team in scoring this season with 10 goals while Hakan Calhanoglu has six in his account. Julian Brandt leads the team in assisting with six while Karim Bellarabi and Calhanoglu have five each so far. Kevin Kampl and Wendell top the team in passing with 1326 and 1196 total passes. Goalie Bernd Leno played in every game of the season for the team and collected 91 saves and he also has six games with clean sheets.
Tin Jedvaj (suspension) is unavailable for the next match while Hakan Calhanoglu is suspended for next five matches. Lars Bender (ankle) is out for the season while Javier Hernandez (Thigh) is still doubtful after being injured on March 25. Jonathan Tah’s (Thigh) absence lasts even longer as he is out since February 3, and is also listed as doubtful for Sunday.
SC FREIBURG vs. BAYER LEVERKUSEN PREDICTION
Leverkusen is 5-4-2 in last 11 matchups against SC Freiburg and first matchup of the season in Leverkusen finished with a 1-1 draw on December 3, last year. Bayer scored 13 while conceding nine goals during this span against Freiburg and most recent Leverkusen’s win at Schwarzwald-Stadium happened on October 28th, 2011 while most recent Freiburg’s home win over Bayer occurred on January 25, in 2014. This season, SC Freiburg plays better at home while Bayer Leverkusen is showing better performances on the road. Both teams need the points as they are both still in the play for European competitions spots next season and Leverkusen also hasn’t resolved all the survival issues. No team is favorite but may safe bet here would be at least one goal scored by both sides but also not too many overall goals.
My Pick: Both team scores YES (-135)
TOTAL: Over 2.5 goals (-115)
