Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Indians Betting Preview 04/28/18

The Seattle Mariners will be facing off against the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. The game gets underway 4:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio is in line to televise this AL showdown.

Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Indians Odds

Vegas is listing Seattle (+205) as the underdog to Cleveland (-225). Bettors are able to wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -105 for over 8.5 runs and -115 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -105 for the Mariners +1.5 runs and -115 for the Indians -1.5.

The Mariners are 14-11 SU and are 14-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.7 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 3.6 units ATS. Seattle is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 14-10 SU and 9-14 ATS. The team has lost 1.2 units for moneyline bettors and 5.7 units ATS. Cleveland has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Cleveland games have had an over/under record of 8-15 so far in 2018. The Mariners have been a decent over bet with a total record of 15-9.

The right-handed Mike Leake is projected to start for Seattle. Leake is 2-2 with a 6.59 ERA and 16 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Cleveland this year.

The Indians will turn to righty Carlos Carrasco (4-0, 2.31 ERA), who has 28 punchouts and six walks as well as a 0.86 WHIP. Carrasco is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 7.94 ERA over one starts against Seattle this year.

Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 5.72 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.65 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.90, along with a K/9 of 10.00.

The Mariners offense has slashed .249/.313/.415 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Seattle’s hitters have been led by right fielder Mitch Haniger and second baseman Robinson Cano, who collectively have blasted 11 home runs. Haniger is slashing .307/.382/.682 with nine home runs, 26 RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Cano has a .307 average with two homers, 10 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

Cano enjoyed hitting against right-handed pitchers in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .312/.371/.519 across 455 plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .280/.338/.453).

In the home-team dugout, Cleveland’s pitchers have yielded 3.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 2.92, a WHIP of 1.02 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 3.23 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

Cleveland’s offense is putting up 3.6 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .242/.311/.497 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Indians’ batters have been led by third baseman Jose Ramirez and left fielder Michael Brantley. Ramirez is slashing .239/.340/.489 with seven home runs, 12 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Brantley’s line is .344/.359/.541 with 21 hits, 10 RBIs and four runs.

Brantley performed well against right-handed pitching at home last year. Across 150 such plate appearances, he slashed .323/.400/.511 (a drop from his total season line of .299/.358/.444).

The Mariners have gained 1.6 units and are 8-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to five that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 3.6 units and are 7-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in six of those games, as opposed to 10 which went under the total.

Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Indians Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER