The Seattle Mariners are paying a visit to Minute Maid Park to face their division nemesis Houston Astros. ATTSN Southwest will televise the action and the game gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Odds
Vegas has listed Seattle (+140) as the underdog to Houston (-150). The total is sitting at 7 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for -115 or the under for -105. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -155 for the Mariners +1.5 runs and +135 for the Astros -1.5.
The Astros are 72-42 straight up (SU) and 60-55 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t strayed too far from expectations, losing 3.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.1 units (ATS). Houston has covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Mariners are 65-48 SU and have gone 55-59 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 9.0 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 8.2 units ATS. Seattle’s covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Houston games have an over/under record of 50-59-6 in 2018. The Mariners have an over/under record of 55-57-2.
The southpaw James Paxton will get the start for the visiting Mariners. Paxton is 9-5 with a 3.51 ERA and 170 strikeouts. He’s 3-0 with 21 strikeouts and a 0.87 ERA against Houston this year (three starts).
The Astros are sending righty Justin Verlander (11-6, 2.19 ERA) to the mound. Verlander has 204 strikeouts and 28 walks to his credit, as well as a 0.88 WHIP. Verlander hasn’t faced the Mariners yet this year, but he made four starts against them in 2017, putting together a perfect 2-0 record with a 1.75 ERA and 36 strikeouts.
Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.13 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.83 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.94, along with a K-per-9 of 9.53.
The Mariners offense has slashed .255/.317/.408 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon continue to lead Seattle’s hitters. Segura is slashing .305/.334/.429 with eight home runs, 51 RBIs, 73 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Gordon is hitting .283 with one homers, 22 RBIs, 49 runs and 26 stolen bases.
For the home team, Houston’s pitching staff has allowed 3.2 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.00, a WHIP of 1.08 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.5. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.05, a WHIP of 1.04 and a K/9 of 10.9. In 50 games against divisional foes, Astros starters have an ERA of 3.08 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.99.
The Houston offense is putting up 5.0 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .243/.333/.491 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Astros’ hitters have been led by second baseman Jose Altuve and third baseman Alex Bregman. Altuve is slashing .329/.392/.464 with nine home runs, 46 RBIs, 64 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Bregman’s line is .278/.383/.522 with 22 homers, 71 RBIs and 75 runs scored.
The Mariners have gained 15.8 units and are 38-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 35 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 8.7 units and are 20-24 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 24 that’ve cashed the under.
Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Seattle has tallied 14 extra-base hits over its last five games. Houston has 22 XBH over its last five.
The Astros have won five of their last six games SU.
Houston has recorded 19.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.2 over its last five.
The Mariners have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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