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Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres Matchup 08/29/18

Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego Padres are playing host to the Seattle Mariners at PETCO Park. The game gets going at 3:40 p.m. ET and this interleague matchup will be shown on both RTNW and FSSD.

Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres Odds

The Padres are 51-83 straight up (SU) and 62-71 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 19.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 29.1 units (ATS). San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mariners are 74-58 SU and have gone 66-65 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 13.9 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 4.2 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Neither squad has established itself as an obvious over/under play this season. Padres games have an over/under record of 64-64-5 in 2018. Seattle has an over/under record of 64-65-2.

Erasmo Ramirez is getting the nod for the visiting Mariners. The right-handed Ramirez (1-2, 4.56 ERA) has racked up 18 punchouts in 25.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Padres are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Joey Lucchesi (6-7, 3.74 ERA), who has 105 strikeouts and 35 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.29. Lucchesi did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2017.

San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.20, a WHIP of 1.49 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 3.54 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.

San Diego’s offense is putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .243/.275/.387 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Padres’ hitters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is hitting .250/.313/.387 with 13 home runs, 55 RBIs and 58 runs scored, while Galvis is hitting .241 with 11 homers, 56 RBIs and 48 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.32 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.79 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.95, along with a K/9 of 8.91.

Mariners hitters have slashed .256/.316/.410 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Seattle’s offense has been led by shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Mitch Haniger, who’ve collectively swatted 31 home runs. The speedy Segura is slashing .315/.347/.438 with nine home runs, 58 RBIs, 80 runs and 19 steals, while Haniger (.281/.368/.484) has produced 22 homers, 83 RBIs and 70 runs scored.

The Mariners have lost 3.2 units and are 22-21 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 5.3 units and are 46-44 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 40 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under.

Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Seattle has logged 17 extra-base hits over its last five games. San Diego has 13 XBH over its last five.

The Mariners have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

San Diego has posted 19.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20.2 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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