Dallas Keuchel (2-4, 5.11 ERA) and Nathan Karns (3-1, 3.81 ERA) start in the third of a four-game series between the Houston Astros (11-19) and the Seattle Mariners (17-12) at Minute Maid Park. The Astros won the last game 6-3, and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 7 and can be seen on RTSW and RTNW.
Keuchel pitched 4.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering five runs, striking out three and walking five in a 6-2 defeat to the Twins. Carlos Correa (.288, 16 Rs, 5 HRs, 15 RBIs, 4 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 3 for 3 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Karns went 6.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out five and walking one in a 4-3 win over the Athletics in his most recent start. Robinson Cano (.286, 17 Rs, 9 HRs, 30 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
The odds for Houston and Seattle are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. Within its division, Houston has a record of 11-9 SU. The Astros have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 0.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 0.0 runs per game. The Astros are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 40. Houston is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 21 bases. Houston’s pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 0.0 runs per game, well under their season average of 0.0. The Astros are the fourth-best team in the AL at limiting walks during home games, allowing only 2.1 walks per game to their opponents this season.
The Mariners are 3-8 against AL West opponents. Offensively, they average five runs per game on the road, which is fourth in the AL. Shifting to the pitching staff and defense, the Mariners allow just 0.0 runs per game, ranking them fifth in the AL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Mariners are third in the AL on the road with an average of 7.0 hits allowed per away game.
The Mariners lead the season series, 3-2.
Predictions: SU Winner – SEA
Notes
Houston has won 25% (3-9) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Seattle has won 69% (9-4) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Mariners managed to give up five walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Astros who are heading in with a 5-6 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Astros are 7-3. The Mariners have a 13-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 11th in runs, Houston has earned 125 this season. Seattle ranks eighth with 131 runs.
Ranking 10th, Seattle is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 98 this season. Houston ranks in the top five with 118.
When the Astros hit at least one home run, they are 10-14. When the Mariners hit at least one homer, they have a 14-7 record.
