Taijuan Walker (8-7, 4.67 ERA) and Chris Tillman (8-7, 4.35 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Seattle Mariners (52-61) and the Baltimore Orioles (57-54) at Safeco Field. The Orioles won the last game 3-2 and Baltimore leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 11 and can be seen on RTNW and MAS2.
Walker pitched 7.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out five and walking three in a 7-5 defeat to the Rockies. Nelson Cruz (.324, 62 Rs, 33 HRs, 69 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Tillman went 8.2 innings, surrendering zero runs and striking out two in a 2-0 win over the Braves in his most recent start. Chris Davis (.252, 62 Rs, 30 HRs, 82 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Orioles, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
Seattle is a narrow -112 favorite at home against Baltimore. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of seven runs. The Mariners have an overall money line of -1,514 and a record as the favorite of 29-37. The Mariners have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.1 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.7 runs per game. As for the pitchers, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Mariners, who rank fifth in the AL in strikeouts per game with 7.9.
In games where it is the underdog, Baltimore has a 22-28 record and an overall money line of -91. The The Orioles allow just four runs per road game, ranking them third in the AL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Orioles are third in the AL on the road with an average of 8.2 hits allowed per away game.
The Orioles lead the season series, 3-1. The Mariners have a 39-44 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Tillman takes the mound. Walker (RHP) will be on the hill against the Orioles, who have a 41-43 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – Bal, O/U – Over
Notes
Seattle has won 44% (17-22) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Baltimore has won 58% (22-16) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Orioles are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Mariners have a 19-34 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 31-18. The Orioles have a 42-11 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 24th, Seattle is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 421 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 487.
Ranking 25th, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 268 this season. Seattle ranks in the top half at 14th with 321.
The Mariners are 44-33 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Orioles are 50-29 when they hit at least one homer.
