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Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals Betting Preview 04/10/18

Mariners vs Royals
Peter G. Aiken-USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Mariners will be facing off against the Kansas City Royals at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. Fox Sports Kansas City will be televising this AL matchup and the game gets underway at 8:15 p.m. ET.

Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals Odds

Vegas has listed Seattle (-130) as the favorite over Kansas City (+120). The total is sitting at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for even money (+100) or the under for -120. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at +115 for betting the Mariners -1.5 runs and -135 for the Royals +1.5.

The Mariners have gone 4-4 SU this year and are 5-2 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.2 units for moneyline bettors this year and 2.3 units ATS. The Royals are 3-5 SU and 4-3 ATS. They’ve lost 2.1 units for moneyline bettors and 0.3 units ATS.

Royals games have a 1-6 over/under record so far in 2018. Seattle has an over/under record of 5-2.

The Mariners have gained 1.1 units and are 1-0 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in one of those games, compared to zero that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Royals have lost 2.1 units and are 3-2 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in one of those games, as opposed to four that’ve cashed the under.

Felix Hernandez (1-1, 7.71 ERA) will get the nod for Seattle. The right-handed Hernandez recorded 78 strikeouts over 86 innings last year with 26 walks while finishing the season 6-5 overall with a 4.36 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP.

The Royals are rolling with lefty Eric Skoglund as their starter. Skoglund started 5 games last year while finishing the season 1-2 overall with a 9.50 ERA and a 2.33 WHIP.

As a unit, Kansas City’s pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 2.70, a WHIP of 1.01 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 5.96 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 6.4 K/9.

The Kansas City offense has put up 3.3 runs per contest, including 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .238/.303/.331 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Mike Moustakas and left fielder Jon Jay have led the Royals’ batters this year. Moustakas is slashing .281/.324/.500 with nine hits, five RBIs and five runs scored, and Jay’s line is .276/.400/.345 with eight hits, one RBI and four runs.

In the other dugout, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 6.13 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 5.90 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.91, along with a WHIP of 1.51 and a K-per-9 of 9.82.

Mariners hitters have slashed .257/.328/.385 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Seattle’s offensive production been led by second baseman Robinson Cano and right fielder Mitch Haniger. Cano is slashing .407/.500/.519 with 11 hits, three RBIs and eight runs scored, while Haniger (.296/.441/.556) is up to eight hits, two homers, six RBIs and four runs scored.

Cano didn’t do as well batting against lefties on the road last year. Across 90 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .220/.278/.305 (his overall season line was .280/.338/.453).

Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The Mariners went 2-5 SU against the Royals last season.

The Royals’ bullpen recorded an ERA of 2.05 against the Mariners last year.

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Written by GMS Previews

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