The Toronto Blue Jays are set to host the Seattle Mariners at Rogers Centre. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET and this AL matchup will be televised on either RTNW or RSN.
Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Toronto (+110) is coming into this one as the underdog against Seattle (-120) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at +125 for the Mariners -1.5 runs and -145 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs.
The Mariners are 19-14 SU and are 20-13 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.1 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 7.0 units ATS. Seattle’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 19-16 SU and 19-16 ATS. They’ve gained 2.0 units for moneyline bettors and 2.9 units ATS. Toronto has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone over in three of those seven.
Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 16-14-5 so far in 2018. Mariners games have gone over 21 times, gone under 12 times and pushed on zero occasions.
James Paxton will get the start for Seattle. The southpaw Paxton is 1-1 with a 4.19 ERA and 60 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and three strikeouts across four innings).
The Blue Jays will turn to righty Marcus Stroman (0-4, 7.52 ERA) to the mound. Stroman has 30 strikeouts and 16 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.64. Stroman made two starts against the Mariners in 2017, compiling a 1-0 record with a 2.08 ERA and 15 strikeouts.
As a unit, Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.40, a WHIP of 1.45 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 3.06, a WHIP of 1.34 and a K/9 of 9.1.
Toronto’s offense has put up 5.1 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .238/.296/.459 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Blue Jays’ batters have been led by right fielder Kevin Pillar and third baseman Yangervis Solarte. Pillar is hitting .316/.363/.549 with four home runs, 16 RBIs, 23 runs and six stolen bases, while Solarte is batting .270 with nine homers, 22 RBIs and 21 runs.
Pillar especially relished hitting against left-handed pitchers at home in 2017. In 77 such plate appearances, he slashed .333/.364/.583 (compared to his overall season line of .255/.300/.403).
In the visiting dugout, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 5.30 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.05 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.12, along with a K-per-9 of 10.30.
Mariners hitters have slashed .256/.321/.429 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Seattle’s hitters have been powered by outfielder Mitch Haniger and second baseman Robinson Cano. Haniger is slashing .297/.380/.627 with 10 home runs, 27 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Cano is hitting .283/.392/.425 with three homers, 18 RBIs and 20 runs scored.
Cano thrived batting against righties last year, maintaining a slash line of .312/.371/.519 across 455 plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .280/.338/.453).
The Mariners have gained 2.7 units and are 12-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, as opposed to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have lost 0.8 units and are 8-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in six of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under.
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Mariners have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 19 over their last 10.
Toronto has recorded 21.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.0 over its last five.
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