The Saint Louis Billikens (16-14, 9-8 A10) and St. Bonaventure Bonnies (23-6, 13-4 A10) close out the regular season when they clash at Chaifetz Arena. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 3, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 135.5 points with St. Bonaventure opening as a 1.5-point favorite.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Saint Louis Billikens ATS Prediction
The last time the Bonnies played, they beat the Davidson Wildcats, 117-113. The Bonnies forced 16 turnovers and had a free throw rate of 0.479 (above their season average of 0.299). Courtney Stockard led the way for St. Bonaventure, recording 31 points and seven rebounds.
The Billikens fell to the Duquesne Dukes in their last game, 76-69. Duquesne’s 0.370 free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Saint Louis, who had a rate of 0.304. The Dukes’ mark was above their season average of 0.242. With 20 points on 6-for-15 shooting, Javon Bess was Saint Louis’ high scorer.
It could be an error-filled game for the Saint Louis offense. Saint Louis ranks 269th in the NCAA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 19.9 percent), while the disruptive defense of St. Bonaventure forces the 60th-most turnovers in the nation (20.9 percent).
St. Bonaventure holds records of 23-6 straight up (SU) and 14-12 against the spread (ATS). A little over half of the Bonnies’ games have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Saint Louis owns records of 16-14 SU and 17-10 ATS. Unlike St. Bonaventure, games involving the Billikens have finished under the total 51.9 percent of the time.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. Jaylen Adams scored a game-high 44 points in the first game, in which the Bonnies beat the Billikens 79-56, covering as 6.5-point favorites. He also put up six assists. The game finished with a total of 135 points, which was just 1 points below the projected point total of 136 points. The Bonnies had a much better turnover percentage (5.8 vs. 20.0) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.560 vs. 0.407).
St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Saint Louis Billikens ATS Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – St. Bonaventure, ATS Winner – St. Bonaventure, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, St. Bonaventure is 7-7 ATS with 7 overs and 7 unders.
Saint Louis is 10-4 ATS at home with 7 overs and 7 unders.
Saint Louis ranks 41st in three pointers allowed per game (19.4) while St. Bonaventure ranks 232nd (23.7).
The Billikens rank 34th in blocks per game (4.5) while the Bonnies rank 171st in blocks allowed per game (4.0).
Saint Louis ranks 37th in rebounds allowed per game (31.9) while St. Bonaventure ranks 161st (35.0).
The Bonnies rank 110th in assists per game (14.2) while the Billikens rank 228th (12.1).
St. Bonaventure ranks 38th in steals allowed per game (5.3) while Saint Louis ranks 69th (5.6).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, St. Bonaventure is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Saint Louis is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Bonnies’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.8, down from 7.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Billikens have scored an average of 64.6 points per game (1.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 62.0 points per game (3.1 below their season average).
