In their final home game of the season, the No. 15-ranked Dayton Flyers (21-4) host the St. Bonaventure Bonnies (17-7) at University of Dayton Arena. The game gets underway at 12:00 pm ET on Saturday, Feb. 20 and can be seen on NBS.
The Flyers fell to Saint Joseph’s 79-70 on Wednesday. Despite the loss, Dyshawn Pierre earned his second double-double this season with 10 points and 13 rebounds. The Bonnies are coming off a 71-64 loss against La Salle on Wednesday. Jaylen Adams stood out for St. Bonaventure, registering 12 points, six assists, and three rebounds.
This is the second game of the year between these two teams, with the Flyers winning the first matchup 85-79. Adams was a top player in the game with 27 points, five rebounds, six assists, three steals, and two three-pointers.
The Flyers are hoping to build on their records of 21-4 Straight Up (SU) and 13-12 Against The Spread (ATS). Dayton has consistently been near the top of the nation in terms of field goal percentage, currently ranking 45th in the nation with a FG% of .471. Below-average play has been the norm lately for the Dayton defense. The Flyers have given up an average of 73.1 points to opponents in their last 10 games, well over their defense’s season average of 64.6 PPG. Dayton’s defense can be considered one of the best in the country. The Flyers allow a .404 opponent field-goal percentage, one of the lowest shooting rates in the country. Teams usually don’t get many offensive rebounds against the Flyers, who are one of the top defensive rebounding teams in the country with an average of 28.2 per game.
On the other side, the Bonnies have 17-7 SU and 12-7-1 ATS records. The Bonnies are shooting lights out from the foul line so far, with a Division I-best .779 free throw percentage. The Bonnies average 71.1 points allowed per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 63.7 points per game during that span.
Following the Flyers’ latest win over St. Bonaventure, their SU record rises to 9-1 over St. Bonaventure in their most recent meetings. With a 6-4 record, the Flyers also have the advantage ATS. When it comes to field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers, Dayton held the edge in all three of these categories once in the last five meetings. St. Bonaventure never did so in those games.
Predictions: SU Winner – StBon, ATS Winner – StBon
Notes
“Dayton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games “.
“Dayton is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games “.
“The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dayton’s last 5 games “.
“Dayton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home”.
“Dayton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Bonaventure”.
“Dayton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Bonaventure”.
“The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dayton’s last 5 games when playing St. Bonaventure”.
“Dayton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Bonaventure”.
Dayton and St. Bonaventure hold winning records against the Atlantic 10 Conference this season. The Dayton Flyers sit at 11-2 SU and the St. Bonaventure Bonnies have a 9-4 record.
St. Bonaventure averages 75.0 points per away game (ranked 57th). Dayton allows 64.2 points per home game (ranked 60th).
St. Bonaventure beats Dayton in both possessions per game and points per possession. The Bonnies average 68.7 possessions and 1.110 points per possession, while the Flyers average 68.0 possessions with 1.088 points per possession.
St. Bonaventure has an average effective field goal percentage of 50.6%. Dayton is an outstanding 7-1 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
The Dayton Flyers average 19.0 three point attempts per game, and the St. Bonaventure Bonnies attempt 22.0 per game. When going for at least 20 three pointers in a game this season, both teams have winning records; Dayton is 14-2 and St. Bonaventure is 10-5.
Dayton ranks 52nd in blocks per game with 4.7 and St. Bonaventure ranks 90th with 4.2 blocks per game.
St. Bonaventure ranks 128th in offensive rebounds, while Dayton ranks at 26th in defensive rebounds.
On average, Dayton forces a turnover rate of 18.1%. When St. Bonaventure turns over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a solid 7-3 record.
