The St. Louis Cardinals are set to take on their divisional rival Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Midwest will be televising the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 1:10 p.m. ET.
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (+125) is coming into this one as the underdog to St. Louis (-135) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at +110 for the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -130 for the Reds +1.5.
The Reds are just 22-43 SU and 33-31 ATS. They’ve lost 15.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.8 units against the spread (ATS). Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in all seven of them. The Cardinals have gone 35-27 SU this year and are 29-32 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 1.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 3.3 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Reds games have a 31-31-2 over/under record so far in 2018. St. Louis has been a decent under bet with a total record of 24-33-4.
Right-hander Carlos Martinez will get the nod for the visiting Cardinals. Martinez is 3-2 with a 1.83 ERA and 52 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 18 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year (three starts).
The Reds are planning to start righty Anthony DeSclafani (0-1, 7.20 ERA), who’s got five strikeouts and one walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.40. DeSclafani hasn’t faced the Cardinals yet this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2017.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has yielded 5.4 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 5.82 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.06 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 27 games against divisional foes, Reds starters have an ERA of 6.13 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.29.
The Cincinnati hitters have put up 4.2 runs per outing, including 3.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .308/.386/.434 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto have led the Reds’ batters this year. Gennett is hitting .342/.378/.561 with 12 home runs, 45 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Votto’s line is .310/.425/.444 with six homers, 27 RBIs and 32 runs.
In the other dugout, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 2.97 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 7.99 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.55, along with a K-per-9 of 8.55.
The Cardinals offense has slashed .241/.317/.394 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
First baseman Jose Martinez and left fielder Marcell Ozuna have paced St. Louis’ hitters. Martinez is hitting .317/.387/.514 with nine home runs, 40 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Ozuna (.274/.324/.389) is up to six homers, 31 RBIs and 25 runs scored.
The Cardinals have lost 1.9 units and are 21-26 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 13.8 units and are 23-22 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 24 that went under the total.
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Reds have lost six of their last seven games SU.
St. Louis has recorded 21.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.2 over its last five.
The Cardinals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
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