The St. Louis Cardinals will be facing off against their NL Central rival Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest will showcase the action.
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Vegas is listing Cincinnati (+115) as the underdog to St. Louis (-125). Bettors are able to wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -110 for over 9.5 runs and -110 for under 9.5. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at +120 for the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -140 for the Reds +1.5.
The Cardinals are 51-50 SU and are 49-51 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.7 units for moneyline bettors and 6.7 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 44-57 SU and 58-42 ATS. The team has lost 3.4 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 4.7 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Cincinnati games have had an over/under record of 53-43-4 in 2018. St. Louis has an over/under record of 47-49-4.
Right-hander Jack Flaherty will get the start for St. Louis. Flaherty is 4-4 with a 3.15 ERA and 96 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds are going with righty Sal Romano (5-8, 5.19 ERA), who’s got 74 punchouts and 41 walks, as well as a 1.43 WHIP. Romano is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA in one start against St. Louis this year.
St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.44 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.98 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.66, along with a K/9 of 8.40.
The Cardinals offense has slashed .246/.320/.404 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
St. Louis’ offense has been sparked by outfielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez, who’ve collectively launched 23 home runs. Ozuna is slashing .262/.307/.373 with 10 home runs, 51 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Martinez (.296/.360/.468) is up to 13 homers, 57 RBIs and 35 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.24, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.0 K/9. In 50 games against NL Central opponents, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.49 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.95.
The Cincinnati hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 1.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .185/.247/.274 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Reds’ batters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is slashing .313/.363/.501 with 16 home runs, 63 RBIs and 60 runs scored, and Peraza’s line is .291/.337/.389 with five homers, 35 RBIs, 53 runs and 17 stolen bases.
The Cardinals have lost 6.8 units and are 36-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 7.6 units and are 42-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 37 of those games, as opposed to 35 that’ve cashed the under.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in only one of St. Louis’ last seven games.
St. Louis has posted 22.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.2 over its last five.
The Cardinals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit seven over their last 10.
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