The St. Louis Cardinals are ready to face their divisional rival Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. The matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Midwest to catch the game.
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds Odds
St. Louis (-120) is coming into this one as the favorite against Cincinnati (+110) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at +125 for the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -145 for the Reds +1.5 runs.
The Cardinals are 50-50 SU and are 48-51 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.7 units for moneyline bettors and 7.7 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in all seven of them. The Reds, on the other hand, are 44-56 SU and 58-41 ATS. They’ve lost 4.4 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 5.7 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.
Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 53-42-4 in 2018. Cardinals games have gone under 48 times, gone over 47 times and pushed on four occasions.
Austin Gomber will get the nod for the visiting Cardinals. Gomber is 0-0 with a 3.77 ERA and 10 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds will turn to righty Homer Bailey (1-7, 6.68 ERA), who’s got 38 strikeouts and 24 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.69. Bailey is 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 4.26 ERA across two starts against St. Louis this year.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has yielded 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 5.27 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.0 K/9. In 49 games against NL Central foes, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.56 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.94.
The Cincinnati offense has put up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .206/.272/.285 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have led the way for the Reds’ offense this year. Gennett is hitting .318/.368/.508 with 16 home runs, 63 RBIs and 60 runs scored, and Peraza’s line is .292/.338/.392 with five homers, 35 RBIs, 53 runs and 17 steals.
In the other dugout, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.45 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.97 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.72, along with a WHIP of 1.24.
Cardinals hitters have slashed .247/.320/.404 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
St. Louis’ offensive production has been led by left fielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez, who have combined to belt 23 home runs. Ozuna is slashing .263/.308/.373 with 10 home runs, 51 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Martinez (.296/.361/.470) is up to 13 homers, 56 RBIs and 35 runs scored.
The Cardinals have lost 5.8 units and are 35-37 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over’s hit in 31 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
St. Louis has recorded 19 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Cincinnati has nine XBH over its last five.
The Cardinals have lost three of their last four games SU.
St. Louis has posted 20.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.0 over its last five.
The Cardinals have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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