The St. Louis Cardinals will head east to Citizens Bank Park to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest is in line to televise this NL matchup.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Vegas is listing St. Louis (+100) as the dog to Philadelphia (-110). The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -115 and the under for -105. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -210 for the Cardinals +1.5 runs and +175 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Cardinals have gone 37-32 SU this year and are 31-37 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.5 units for moneyline bettors and 7.0 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 37-32 SU and 31-37 ATS. The team’s gained 3.9 units for moneyline bettors while earning 11.9 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 31-33-4 so far in 2018. The Cardinals have been a decent under bet with a total record of 27-37-4.
Right-hander Miles Mikolas is the projected starter for St. Louis. Mikolas is 7-2 with a 2.43 ERA and 63 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Phillies are planning to start righty Nick Pivetta (4-6, 4.25 ERA), who’s got 81 strikeouts and 21 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.24. Pivetta made two starts against the team in 2017, posting a 0-1 record in 2017, posting a 0-1 record with a 5.73 ERA.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.05 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
Philadelphia’s hitters have produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .280/.364/.526 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led the Phillies’ batters this year. Herrera is slashing .291/.350/.453 with nine home runs, 36 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Hernandez’s line sits at .261/.368/.386 with seven homers, 24 RBIs, 47 runs and 10 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.25 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.05 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.38, along with a K-per-9 of 8.65.
The Cardinals offense has slashed .244/.318/.394 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
First baseman Jose Martinez and outfielder Marcell Ozuna have paced St. Louis’ offense. Martinez is slashing .321/.389/.517 with 10 home runs, 42 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Ozuna is slashing .294/.339/.444 with 10 homers, 40 RBIs and 29 runs scored.
The Cardinals have lost 2.1 units and are 23-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 19 of those games, as opposed to 28 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 4.0 units and are 23-25 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 21 of those games, compared to 24 that went under the total.
St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in five of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
Philadelphia has recorded 20 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25 over its last five.
The Cardinals have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 13 over their last 10.
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