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St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants Free Pick 07/06/18

Neville E. Guard-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Cardinals will be taking on the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park. Fox Sports Midwest will be showing this NL matchup and the opening pitch will be at 10:15 p.m. ET.

St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants Odds

Vegas is listing St. Louis (+100) as the dog to San Francisco (-110). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -125 for over eight runs and +105 for under eight. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -210 for the Cardinals +1.5 runs and +175 for the Giants -1.5.

The Giants are 45-44 straight up (SU) and 49-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 8.3 units for moneyline bettors and 8.3 units (ATS). San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Cardinals are 45-41 SU and have gone 42-43 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 7.0 units for moneyline bettors and 3.8 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

San Francisco games have an over/under record of 42-44-2 so far in 2018. St. Louis has been a decent under bet with a total record of 36-45-4.

Right-hander John Gant is the projected starter for St. Louis. Gant (2-3, 3.92 ERA) has racked up 34 punchouts in 39 innings so far. He has yet to face the Giants this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Giants are sending Dereck Rodriguez (3-1, 3.16 ERA) to the mound. Rodriguez has 33 punchouts and nine walks to his name, as well as a 1.32 WHIP. Rodriguez did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.

San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.29, a WHIP of 1.37 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a 3.80 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.

San Francisco’s hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .198/.270/.284 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Giants’ offense has been led by shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen. Crawford is slashing .307/.370/.493 with 10 home runs, 39 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while McCutchen’s line is .257/.342/.423 with nine homers, 37 RBIs and 47 runs.

In the other dugout, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.50 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.09 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.01, along with a K-per-9 of 8.63.

The Cardinals offense has slashed .245/.318/.403 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

St. Louis’ hitters have been led by outfielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez, who’ve collectively launched 23 home runs. Ozuna is hitting .279/.322/.408 with 10 home runs, 46 RBIs and 34 runs scored, while Martinez (.293/.359/.483) has produced 13 homers, 52 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

The Giants have gained 6.5 units and are 31-22 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 23 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in three of St. Louis’ last seven games.

St. Louis has posted 24.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 28.4 over its last five.

The Cardinals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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