The St. Louis Cardinals will be taking on the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. This NL matchup will begin at 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will be showing the game.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Odds
Vegas has listed St. Louis (-150) as the favorite over San Diego (+140). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over eight runs and -115 for under eight. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -105 for the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -115 for the Padres +1.5 runs.
The Padres are only 14-25 SU and 16-22 ATS. The team’s lost 5.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.1 units against the spread (ATS). San Diego has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Cardinals are 21-14 SU and have gone 17-17 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 2.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season, but have lost 0.9 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Padres games have an over/under record of 17-19-2 so far in 2018. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 14-17-3.
The right-handed Luke Weaver is the projected starter for the visiting Cardinals. Weaver is 2-2 with a 5.60 ERA and 32 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and 10 strikeouts over seven innings).
The Padres will turn to Eric Lauer (1-1, 5.79 ERA), who’s got 15 strikeouts and seven walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.93. Lauer did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2017.
As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 5.05 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.24 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.
The San Diego hitters have produced 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.0 per game over its last 10 games and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .229/.298/.327 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Christian Villanueva have led the Padres’ batters so far. Hosmer is hitting .263/.368/.474 with five home runs, 12 RBIs and 18 runs scored, and Villanueva’s line sits at .241/.322/.537 with nine homers, 20 RBIs and 17 runs.
Hosmer seemed to enjoy hitting righty pitching at home last year, slashing .354/.439/.615 over 221 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .318/.385/.498).
In the other dugout, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.23 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.76 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.47, along with a K-per-9 of 8.09.
Cardinals hitters have slashed .229/.317/.381 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
St. Louis’ offensive production been led by right fielder Tommy Pham and shortstop Paul DeJong. Pham is slashing .330/.444/.563 with six home runs, 15 RBIs, 26 runs and seven stolen bases, while DeJong is hitting .258/.336/.477 with seven homers, 14 RBIs and 19 runs scored.
Maintaining a slash line of .340/.431/.611 across 283 plate appearances, Pham performed well on the road in 2017 (compared to his overall season slash line of .306/.411/.520).
The Padres have lost 6.0 units and are 10-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 10 of those games, as opposed to 12 that’ve hit the under against righties.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
San Diego has posted 16.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.2 over its last five.
The Cardinals have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit seven over their last 10.
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