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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers Betting Preview 09/09/18

Joe Puetz-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Cardinals will play the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. This interleague matchup will begin at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Midwest to catch the game.

St. Louis Cardinals at Detroit Tigers Odds

St. Louis (-125) is favored over Detroit (+115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Runline odds sit at +120 for picking the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -140 for the Tigers +1.5.

The Cardinals have gone 78-64 SU this year and are 75-66 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 4.0 units for moneyline bettors and 8.6 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 59-83 SU and 73-68 ATS. The team has lost 4.0 units for moneyline bettors and 6.2 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Tigers games have had an over/under record of 60-74-7 in 2018. St. Louis has an over/under record of 65-70-6.

John Gant will get the start for St. Louis. The right-handed Gant (6-5, 3.19 ERA) has recorded 80 punchouts in 96 innings so far. He has yet to face the Tigers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Tigers will put the ball in the right hand of Michael Fulmer (3-10, 4.57 ERA), who’s got 105 strikeouts and 43 walks this season as well as a 1.30 WHIP. Fulmer did not record a start against the Cardinals in 2017.

Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.48, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.49 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

Detroit’s offense has produced 3.9 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .266/.345/.451 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias have led the Tigers’ offense this year. Castellanos is slashing .293/.350/.484 with 20 home runs, 78 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while the line for Iglesias stands at .269/.310/.389 with five homers, 48 RBIs, 43 runs and 15 steals.

In the visiting dugout, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.36 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.06 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.28, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K/9 of 8.11.

Cardinals hitters have slashed .250/.324/.414 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

St. Louis’ hitters have been led by first baseman Jose Martinez and outfielder Marcell Ozuna, who’ve collectively belted 37 home runs. Martinez is slashing .303/.362/.457 with 16 home runs, 78 RBIs and 53 runs scored. Ozuna (.278/.322/.435) is up to 21 homers, 75 RBIs and 58 runs scored.

The Cardinals have lost 2.0 units and are 53-48 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 11.8 units and are 51-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, compared to 58 that’ve cashed the under.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in four of St. Louis’ last seven contests.

The St. Louis defense has allowed six errors over its last five games, compared to two errors for Detroit over its last five.

The Cardinals have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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