The Milwaukee Brewers are set to host their divisional rival St. Louis Cardinals at Miller Park. The action is going to be televised nationally on Fox Sports One and the game gets underway 6:40 p.m. ET.
St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
St. Louis (+125) is coming into this one as the underdog to Milwaukee (-145) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +105 for the over and -125 for the under. The game’s runline odds sit at -120 for betting the Cardinals -1.5 runs and +110 for the Brewers +1.5 runs.
The Brewers are 4-1 SU and 2-2 ATS. They’ve gained 1.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.4 units against the spread (ATS). The Cardinals are 2-3 SU and have gone 2-2 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 0.0 units for moneyline bettors in this young season, but have lost 1.6 units ATS.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 3-1 in 2018. Cardinals games have gone over three times, gone under once and pushed on zero instances.
The Cardinals have lost 1.0 units and are 1-2 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to zero that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 0.1 units and are 1-1 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in two of those games, compared to zero that went under the total.
Right-hander Carlos Martinez (0-1, 8.31 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Cards. Martinez recorded 217 strikeouts in 205 innings last year with only 71 walks and finished the season 12-11 overall with a 3.64 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. He made four starts against the Brewers in 2017 and compiled a 1-3 record against them with a 4.30 ERA and 25 strikeouts.
The Brewers will put the ball in the hands of righty Jhoulys Chacin (0-0, 10.80 ERA), who started 32 games last year and finished the season 13-10 overall with a 3.89 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have yielded 4.4 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 6.38, a WHIP of 1.46 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 1.50, a WHIP of 1.04 and a K/9 of 8.6. In two games against divisional opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 9.31 and the bullpen’s ERA is 1.08.
The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 5.2 runs per contest so far this season and the team has slashed .279/.325/.442 to begin the year.
The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich. Cain is slashing .409/.458/.682 with nine hits, four RBIs and four runs scored, while Yelich is batting .435 with 10 hits, five RBIs and six runs.
For the visiting squad, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.11 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 8.76 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.00, along with a WHIP of 1.58 and a K-per-9 of 9.50.
Cardinals hitters have slashed .257/.319/.469 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season.
St. Louis’ offensive production been led by shortstop Paul DeJong and outfielder Tommy Pham. DeJong is slashing .444/.500/.944 with eight hits, five RBIs and four runs scored, while Pham is slashing .368/.478/.579 with seven hits, one RBI and five runs scored.
DeJong did not do especially well against righties on the road in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .214/.248/.388 across 206 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .285/.325/.532).
St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Brewers went 11-8 SU against the Cardinals in 2017.
The Brewers’ bullpen recorded 3.33 ERA against the Cardinals last year.
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