Jaime Garcia (9-5, 2.45 ERA) and Tyler Wagner (0-0, 12.27 ERA) start in the third of a four-game series between the St. Louis Cardinals (97-57) and the Milwaukee Brewers (65-89) at Busch Stadium. The Brewers won the last game 4-3 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 7:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sep. 26 and can be seen on FS1.
Garcia pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering one run, striking out five and walking two in a 2-1 defeat to the Reds. Matt Carpenter (.268, 94 Rs, 26 HRs, 82 RBIs, 4 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one RBI. Wagner went 3.2 innings, surrendering five runs, striking out two and walking one in a 7-6 defeat to the Diamondbacks in his most recent start. Khris Davis (.246, 49 Rs, 24 HRs, 61 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Brewers, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, one RBI, and one stolen base.
This one isn’t expected to be close when St. Louis, a substantial -255 favorite, takes on Milwaukee. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs for this matchup. The Cardinals have recorded an overall money line of +2,827 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 82-37. St. Louis is an impressive 7-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. St. Louis is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.1 per game. Turning to the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Cardinals, who have a team ERA of only 2.87.
Over in the other dugout, Milwaukee is coming in with an overall money line of -2,316 and a disappointing record of 38-58 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-6 record, and a 2-8 record SU.
The Cardinals have controlled the season series, 12-5. The Cardinals have a great 42-15 record at home (74-38 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they’ll be facing when Wagner takes the mound. Garcia (LHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a 19-19 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – StL, O/U – Over
Notes
In their last game, the Brewers won by a margin of one run. The Cardinals are 32-23 in one-run games. The Brewers have a 15-15 record in close games.
The Cardinals are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Brewers have a 16-37 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 10-69. The Cardinals have a 24-39 record when opponents outhit them.
St. Louis ranks near the bottom of the league at 26th when it comes to home runs, hitting 131 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 139.
St. Louis and Milwaukee both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. St. Louis sits at sixth with 8.63 hits per game and Milwaukee ranks seventh with 8.61.
Ranking 22nd, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.709). St. Louis ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .720.
When the Brewers allow at least one home run, they are 37-65. When the Cardinals allow one or more homers, they have a 41-41 record.
