The St. Louis Cardinals will be facing off against the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will be airing this NL matchup.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Odds
St. Louis (-125) is hosting this game as the favorite against San Diego (+115) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at +120 for the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -140 for the Padres +1.5 runs.
The Padres are only 15-26 SU and 17-23 ATS. The team has lost 7.2 units for moneyline bettors and 12.3 units against the spread (ATS). San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Cardinals have gone 22-15 SU this year and are 18-18 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 4.0 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the season, but have lost 0.8 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Padres games have an over/under record of 18-20-2 so far in 2018. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 15-18-3.
The right-handed Adam Wainwright is getting the nod for the visiting Cardinals. Wainwright is 1-2 with a 3.45 ERA and 12 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Padres will put the ball in the left hand of Clayton Richard (1-5, 5.72 ERA), who’s got 40 strikeouts and 20 walks this season as well as a 1.58 WHIP. Richard made two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record with a 3.09 ERA and 11 strikeouts.
As a unit, San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.16 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.14 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.
San Diego’s offense has produced 3.7 runs per contest, including 2.9 per game over its last 10 games and 2.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .201/.270/.296 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Padres’ offense has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and outfielder Franchy Cordero. Hosmer is hitting .261/.360/.465 with five home runs, 13 RBIs and 18 runs scored, and Cordero’s line is .269/.345/.490 with six homers, 16 RBIs, 14 runs and five stolen bases.
Hosmer particularly enjoyed hitting against righty pitching at home last season. Across 221 such plate appearances, he slashed .354/.439/.615 (compared to his total season line of .318/.385/.498).
For the visitors, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.10 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.74 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.61, along with a K/9 of 8.35.
Cardinals hitters have slashed .231/.319/.386 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
St. Louis’ hitters have been led by outfielder Tommy Pham and shortstop Paul DeJong, who collectively have belted 15 home runs. Pham is hitting .327/.437/.566 with seven home runs, 17 RBIs, 27 runs and seven stolen bases, while DeJong (.268/.344/.493) is up to eight homers, 18 RBIs and 21 runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .306/.411/.520, Pham enjoyed hitting on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .340/.431/.611 across 283 plate appearances.
The Cardinals have gained 4.6 units and are 8-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 8.0 units and are 11-15 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
San Diego has recorded 16.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.6 over its last five.
The Cardinals have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit six over their last 10.
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