The St. Louis Cardinals are heading west to PETCO Park to play the San Diego Padres. Fox Sports San Diego will be televising this NL showdown and the opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET.
St. Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres Odds
San Diego (+135) is the underdog against St. Louis (-145) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s run-line with the most recent odds sitting at +100 for the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -120 for the Padres +1.5.
The Cardinals have gone 20-14 SU this year and are 17-17 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 2.0 units for money line gamblers over the early part of the season, despite having lost 0.9 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 14-24 SU and 15-22 ATS. They’ve lost 6.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.1 units ATS. San Diego has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
San Diego games have an over/under record of 17-18-2 so far in 2018. Cardinals games have gone under 17 times, gone over 14 times and pushed on three instances.
Right-hander Miles Mikolas is projected to start for the visiting Cardinals. Mikolas is 4-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 31 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Padres are putting the ball in the right hand of Jordan Lyles (0-0, 3.66 ERA), who has 16 strikeouts and seven walks as well as a 1.07 WHIP. Lyles did not record a start against the Cardinals in 2017.
As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.14, a WHIP of 1.60 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 3.33 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.
The San Diego hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .255/.333/.392 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Padres’ offense has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Christian Villanueva. Hosmer is hitting .271/.377/.488 with five home runs, 12 RBIs and 18 runs scored, and Villanueva’s line sits at .243/.325/.542 with nine homers, 20 RBIs and 17 runs.
Hosmer seemed to enjoy hitting righties at home last season. In 221 such plate appearances, he slashed .354/.439/.615 (compared to his overall season line of .318/.385/.498).
In the visiting dugout, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.29 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.84 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.53, along with a K-per-9 of 8.17.
The Cardinals offense has slashed .228/.318/.382 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
St. Louis’ offense has been powered by right fielder Tommy Pham and first baseman Jose Martinez. Pham is slashing .323/.442/.535 with five home runs, 14 RBIs, 24 runs and seven stolen bases, while Martinez is slashing .287/.362/.459 with four homers, 19 RBIs and 12 runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .306/.411/.520, Pham performed well against righty pitching on the road in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .352/.438/.633 across 226 such plate appearances.
The Cardinals have lost 1.6 units and are 10-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 10 of those games, as opposed to 11 that gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 6.0 units and are 10-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to 12 that have cashed the under.
St. Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The St. Louis defense has allowed 10 errors over the last 10 games, compared to four errors for San Diego over its last 10.
The Cardinals have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit six over their last 10.
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