Hoping to extend their undefeated record, the Green Bay Packers (4-0) travel to take on the St. Louis Rams (2-2). The game will air Sunday, Oct 11 at 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS.
In last week’s game, Green Bay prevailed against San Francisco 17-3. Richard Rodgers had a quality performance in the victory, grabbing five receptions for 45 yards and one TD. Eddie Lacy chipped in with 90 yards on 18 carries. St. Louis also won last week, just barely getting past Arizona 24-22. Tavon Austin had a great game for the Rams, pulling in six receptions for 96 yards and two TDs. Todd Gurley had a great game as well, adding 146 yards on 19 carries.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at 46 points and the Rams are a big 10-point underdog.
The Packers have performed above expectations so far this year with a 4-0 record Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS). A focal point of Green Bay’s offense is the running game, which ranks third in the league with 136.2 rushing yards per game. As for the Green Bay defense, a few key matchups could decide this game. Green Bay’s defensive backs could have an edge on the Rams and their struggling pass game. St. Louis averages 193.2 yards per game through the air, ranking 28th in the NFL. In the first quarter, Green Bay is a tough challenge, putting up a league-leading 9.5 points in the first 15 minutes. With the fourth-highest time of possession per game at 33:52, expect Green Bay to control the clock this week.
As for their opponent, the Rams head into Week 5 with records of 2-2 for both ATS and SU. Running the ball has resulted in favorable outcomes for the Rams, who average the second-best yards per carry in the league with 4.5. Moving on to the St. Louis defense, there are certain areas where it measures up well against the Packers. St. Louis, allowing 8.6 yards per pass, has a good chance of shutting down its competitor’s passing game. The Packers will have to stay focused in the third quarter against St. Louis. The Rams start off the second half with confidence, averaging 7.8 points during the third quarter. Penalties are a common occurrence for Green Bay. The Packers are one of the most penalized teams in the league with nine infractions per game.
Predictions: SU Winner – GB, ATS Winner – GB, O/U – Under
Notes
Green Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Green Bay’s last 11 games at home.
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis.
Green Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against St. Louis.
Green Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay’s last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis.
St. Louis is 1-0 SU this season, when leading at the half. Green Bay is 3-0 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
The St. Louis pass defense is ranked 14th in the league, while the Green Bay passing attack is ranked only 21st. The Rams’ passing game is ranked just 28th, compared to the seventh-ranked pass defense of the Packers.
St. Louis has allowed 23.0 points per contest on the road, which ranks it 16th in the league. Green Bay has scored 32.5 points per game at home (ranked fifth overall).
