A couple of clubs that like to air it out, the Indianapolis Colts (-3) are ready to take the field against their AFC South nemesis Jacksonville Jaguars at Lucas Oil Stadium. This early afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS has the TV rights.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview
Jacksonville is a live dog in this Sunday matchup and is currently getting 3 points. The Jaguars are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Colts are -150. This AFC matchup should provide several decent live betting possibilities, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 47 points.
The game’s total has shifted lower after opening at 47.5. The original line (-3) has stayed firm.
The underwhelming Jaguars are 3-5 against the spread (ATS) and are down 6.8 units so far. They’ve been a decent under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 3-5. The Colts have lost 1.3 units this season. The team is 4-4 ATS and owns an O/U record of 5-3.
The Jaguars have gone 3-5 straight up (SU), including 0-2 SU against AFC South opponents. The Colts are 3-5 SU overall and 0-1 SU against divisional foes.
Indianapolis comes into this one on a four-game losing streak while Jacksonville has come out on top in its last two in a row. The Jaguars are most-recently on the rebound after a 24-18 defeat to Philadelphia in Week 8 where Blake Bortles completed 24-of-41 passes for 286 yards and one touchdown. Bortles (43 yards on eight rush attempts) also led the running attack. T.J. Yeldon (seven receptions, 83 yards) and D.J. Chark Jr. (four catches, 41 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Indianapolis just earned a 42-28 win over Oakland a couple of weeks ago. Andrew Luck completed 22-of-31 passes for 239 yards and three touchdowns. Marlon Mack (132 yards on 25 rush attempts, two TDs) and Nyheim Hines (78 yards on 11 carries) mounted the running game while Jack Doyle (six receptions, 70 yards, one TD) and Dontrelle Inman (six catches, 52 yards) led the receiving corps in the win.
In terms of offensive play-calling, each of these teams sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Jacksonville’s run the ball on 35.9 percent of its offensive possessions while Indianapolis has a rush percentage of 36.9. The Jaguars have rushed for 95 yards/game (including 79 per game versus South opponents) and have two touchdowns on the ground this year. The Colts are putting up 118 rush yards per game (41 in conference) and have four total rushing TDs.
If 2018 numbers can translate to this game, then it’s looking like the Colts ought to be the more disruptive team in the trenches, since their offensive line has given up just 10 sacks while their D-line has registered 21 sacks. The Jaguars O-line has allowed 22 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing signal-callerss just 19 times.
The Jags offense has averaged 272 yards through the air overall (186 per game versus conference opposition) and has 11 passing scores so far. The Colts have produced 273 pass yards per game (464.0 against AFC foes) and have 23 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Jacksonville appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 123 yards and pass for 207 yards per game. The Indianapolis defense has allowed 275.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 109.9 yards per game to opposing runners. The Jags are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.74 to opposing QBs, while the Colts have given up a 6.34 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Bortles has amassed 1,960 yards this season. He’s completed 61 percent of his 278 attempts with 10 scores through the air and eight interceptions. Bortles has a 5.78 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.07 over the last two outings.
Andrew Luck has connected on 208-of-319 passes for 2,031 yards, 19 TDs and eight INTs for Indianapolis. His ANY/A stands at 6.00 for the year and 9.91 over his last two games.
RELATED: Week 10 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions
NFL Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts
SU Winner – Jaguars, ATS Winner – Jaguars, O/U – Under
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Indianapolis D has tallied 21 sacks on the year while Jacksonville has 19.
The Indianapolis offense has lost five fumbles in 2018 while the Jacksonville offense has lost nine.
Each team has produced two pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Jaguars have have made 10 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Colts have created five such plays.
The Jacksonville defense has allowed one pass play of 40 yards or more, while Indianapolis has given up zero such plays.
The Jacksonville offense has created four rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Indianapolis has created five such runs.
The Jaguars defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Colts have given up eight such runs.
The Over/Under for Indianapolis’ last match was 51. The over cashed in that 42-28 victory over Oakland.
Over its last three contests, Indianapolis is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
In its last three matchups, Jacksonville is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Jacksonville has lost six of its last seven games SU, with a 19-point win over New York on September 30th representing the only victory over that stretch.
The O/U for Jacksonville’s last game was 44.5. The under cashed in the team’s 24-18 loss to Philadelphia.
Jacksonville has rushed for 3.6 yards per attempt over its last three games and 3.6 over its last two.
Indianapolis has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.7 over its past two.
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