The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+0) are heading north to face the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium. This early afternoon matchup is scheduled to get underway at 1:00 p.m. ET and FOX will televise the action.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants Betting Preview
Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 52 points. Should one squad finds paydirt early, it would likely result in a worthwhile live betting scenario.
The Buccaneers are down 1.2 units so far and 3-6 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U mark of 7-2. The Giants have lost 3.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-5 ATS and have an O/U record of 4-5.
The Buccaneers have gone 3-6 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Giants are 2-7 SU.
When these two teams faced one another last year, Tampa Bay got the victory 25-23.
The Bucs fell to Washington 16-3 in a Week 10 game where their defense allowed the Redskins to rush for 116 yards on 25 attempts. On the offensive side, Ryan Fitzpatrick completed 29 passes on 41 attempts for 406 yards and two interceptions. Peyton Barber (61 rushing yards on 13 attempts) led the ground attack. Jacquizz Rodgers (eight receptions, 102 yards) and Chris Godwin (seven catches, 103 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
New York just got a 27-23 win over San Francisco last week. Eli Manning completed 19-of-31 passes for 188 yards and three touchdowns. Saquon Barkley (67 yards on 20 rush attempts) spearheaded the running game as Odell Beckham Jr. (four receptions, 73 yards, two TDs) and Evan Engram (four catches, 46 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Tampa Bay has run the ball on 36.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New York has an overall rush percentage of 33.1 percent. The Buccaneers have rushed for 92 yards/game and have five touchdowns on the ground this year. The G-Men are logging 80 rush yards per game and have five total rushing TDs.
The Bucs offensive scheme has tallied a ridiculous 376 yards/game through the air overall and has 23 passing scores so far. The G-Men have recorded 291 pass yards per game and have 12 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Tampa Bay has let opponents rush for an average of 108 yards and pass for 306 yards per game. The New York D has given up 252.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 122.6 yards per game on the ground. The G-Men are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 6.72 to opponents, while the Buccaneers have given up an ugly 8.97 ANY/A.
Offensively, Fitzpatrick is up to 1,956 passing yards on the year, and has completed 127-of-185 attempts with 13 scores through the air and seven interceptions. Fitzpatrick’s got a 9.52 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 6.01 over the last two games.
As a group, Chris Godwin, Adam Humphries and Jacquizz Rodgers have collectively accounted for 397 total yards and two touchdowns over the last two outings.
Eli Manning has completed 204-of-299 passes for 2,249 yards, 10 TDs and four INTs for New York. His ANY/A stands at 6.42 for the year and 5.07 over his past two outings.
We also expect the New York offense to spread its attack this Sunday. As a trio, Saquon Barkley, Odell Beckham Jr. and Evan Engram have collectively accounted for 491 total yards and three touchdowns the last two games.
RELATED: Week 11 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions
Betting Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants
SU Winner – Buccaneers, ATS Winner – Buccaneers, O/U – Over
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Trends
The Over/Under for Tampa Bay’s last game going into it was 51. The under cashed in the team’s 16-3 loss to Washington.
Tampa Bay has averaged 4.3 yards per rush attempt across its last three outings and 4.1 over its last two.
New York has averaged 3.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.6 over its last two.
New York has lost five fumbles this season while Tampa Bay has lost six.
In its last three contests, Tampa Bay is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Tampa Bay has lost seven of its last eight games SU, with a three-point victory over Cleveland on October 21st accounting for the only win over that stretch.
The O/U for New York’s last match was set at 45. The over cashed in the team’s 27-23 win over San Francisco.
Over its last three matches, New York is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Buccaneers offense has tallied 10 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Giants have accounted for seven such plays.
Both teams have allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Tampa Bay defense has given up 16 pass plays of 30+ yards while New York has yielded 10 such plays.
The Tampa Bay offense has created three rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while New York has created eight such runs.
The Buccaneers defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Giants have given up five such runs.
The Tampa Bay defense has more than twice as many sacks as New York this year (21 to 10).
*****
