The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5) match up against the Philadelphia Eagles (4-5) at Lincoln Financial Field this week. The NFL’s fifth-leading rusher, Doug Martin (706 yards, 3 TDs), will be on display in this contest. Philadelphia has had a subpar season, but has shown signs of life lately, winning three of its last five. The game starts at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, Nov 22 and can be seen on FOX.
Philadelphia lost a game they could have won against the Dolphins 20-19 last week. Brent Celek had a big game in the loss, registering four catches for 134 yards. Zach Ertz added 68 yards on seven receptions. Tampa Bay is hoping for a similar result as last week when they beat the Cowboys 10-6. Mike Evans had an outstanding performance for the Buccaneers, totaling eight catches for 126 yards.
Philadelphia is a heavy seven-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is presently unavailable.
Heading into Week 11 of league action, the Eagles are 4-5 for both Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS). In the past five games, Philadelphia is 3-2 for both SU and ATS. The game plan for the Eagles is committed to passing. The Buccaneers currently rank 28th in the NFL with 286.5 passing yards allowed per road game. The Eagles defense is a tough test at home this season, giving up 16 points per game. One of the keys to the game will be if the Buccaneers can protect the ball against the ambitious defense of the Eagles, who rank second in the league with 2.2 turnovers per game. If the game is close late, the Eagles may have an edge. Tampa Bay finishes away games poorly, giving up an average of 10.2 points in the fourth quarter. Mistakes and a lack of focus could be factors that benefit the Eagles in this game. The Buccaneers are one of the most penalized teams in the league with 79 penalty yards per game.
As for their opponent, the Buccaneers have 4-5 SU and 5-4 ATS records this season. In the previous five games, Tampa Bay has a record of 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS. The Tampa Bay run defense has given teams issues during the past five games. During that time, opponents have gained an average of 72.4 rushing yards against this scary group. The Eagles need to prevent giveaways against the turnover-minded Buccaneers. The defense ranks fourth in the league in turnovers with 2.2 per road game.
Predictions: SU Winner – TB, ATS Winner – TB
Notes
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia’s last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games at home.
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home.
Philadelphia is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home.
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay.
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay.
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
Both teams are 3-1 SU when carrying a lead into the fourth quarter.
Philadelphia is only 1-3) SU in games where it wins the turnover battle, yet 3-1 SU when losing the turnover battle.
The Tampa Bay pass defense is ranked 10th in the league, while the Philadelphia passing attack is ranked only 14th. The Buccaneers’ passing game is ranked just 23rd, compared to the 16th-ranked pass defense of the Eagles.
