The Tampa Bay Rays will head north to play the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. SportsTime Ohio will be televising this AL showdown and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Indians Odds
Cleveland (-215) is the favorite over Tampa Bay (+195) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at eight runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Runline odds stand at -110 for picking the Rays +1.5 runs and -110 for the Indians -1.5.
The Rays have gone 71-62 SU this year and are 73-60 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 15.3 units for moneyline bettors and 14.4 units ATS. Tampa Bay’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 76-57 SU and 63-69 ATS. The team’s lost 15.6 units for moneyline bettors and 14.7 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.
Cleveland games have an over/under record of 65-61-6 in 2018. Tampa Bay has been a decent under bet with a total record of 57-72-4.
The right-handed Tyler Glasnow is the probable starter for the visiting Rays. Glasnow is 1-3 with a 4.18 ERA and 104 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Indians are sending righty Corey Kluber (16-7, 2.91 ERA) to the hill. Kluber has 172 punchouts and 25 walks to his credit, as well as a 0.98 WHIP. Kluber only made one start against the Rays in 2017 (1-0, 3.86 ERA and nine strikeouts across seven innings).
Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.71 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.31 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.69, along with a K/9 of 8.20.
Rays hitters have slashed .257/.332/.396 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Tampa Bay’s offense has been sparked by third baseman Matt Duffy and outfielder Mallex Smith. Duffy is slashing .298/.356/.372 with four home runs, 35 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Smith (.307/.377/.433) is up to two homers, 31 RBIs, 50 runs and 27 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Cleveland’s pitching staff has yielded 4.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.38, a WHIP of 1.15 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 4.83 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
The Cleveland offense is putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .271/.344/.388 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Indians’ hitters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley. Lindor is slashing .288/.363/.526 with 29 home runs, 78 RBIs, 109 runs and 20 stolen bases, and Brantley’s line is .304/.358/.468 with 14 homers, 69 RBIs and 75 runs scored.
The Rays have gained 6.8 units and are 50-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 44 of those games, as opposed to 48 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 12.7 units and are 47-52 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 49 of those games, compared to 45 that went under.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Indians Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in three of Cleveland’s last seven games.
The Rays have won nine of their last 10 games SU while the Indians have won three of their last four.
Cleveland has recorded 22.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.2 over its last five.
The Rays have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
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