The Miami Marlins are facing off against the Tampa Bay Rays at Marlins Park. Fox Sports Sun will be televising this interleague showdown and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins Odds
The Rays are 42-42 SU and are 49-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 8.1 units for moneyline bettors and 14.8 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 35-51 SU and 45-40 ATS. They’ve gained 0.2 units for moneyline bettors while earning 4.3 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven.
Miami games have had an over/under record of 43-40-2 thus far in 2018. The Rays have been a good under bet with a total record of 34-46-3.
Ryan Yarbrough will get the start for the Rays. The southpaw Yarbrough is 7-4 with a 3.76 ERA and 71 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Marlins will turn to Trevor Richards (2-5, 5.06 ERA), who has 43 punchouts and 22 walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 1.48. Richards did not pitch in the majors last season.
Miami’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.64, a WHIP of 1.33 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.70 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.
The Miami hitters are putting up 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .269/.309/.380 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ batters this year. Castro is slashing .288/.335/.396 with five home runs, 31 RBIs and 50 runs scored, and Anderson is hitting .285 with five homers, 40 RBIs and 48 runs scored.
For the visitors, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.77 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.58 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.45, along with a WHIP of 1.17.
Rays hitters have slashed .249/.322/.382 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Tampa Bay’s offensive production has been powered by third baseman Matt Duffy and catcher Wilson Ramos, who’ve collectively launched 15 home runs. Duffy is slashing .315/.359/.422 with four home runs, 25 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Ramos is slashing .290/.336/.459 with 11 homers, 43 RBIs and 24 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 1.4 units and are 16-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to 12 that’ve hit the under against lefties.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in four of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
The Rays have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 11 over their last 10.
Tampa Bay has recorded 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 16.6 over its last five.
The Marlins have won three of their last four games SU.
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