The Baltimore Orioles will welcome the Tampa Bay Rays to Camden Yards in Game 1 of a divisional doubleheader. The matchup will get underway at 3:05 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
The Orioles are 11-27 SU and 14-23 ATS. They’ve lost 16.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.3 units against the spread (ATS). Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Rays are 15-20 SU and have gone 18-16 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 4.3 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the season, but have gained 2.5 units ATS. Tampa Bay’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Baltimore games have a 17-19-1 over/under record thus far in 2018. Tampa Bay has an over/under record of 17-15-2.
Chris Archer is getting the nod for Tampa Bay. The right-handed Archer is 2-2 with a 5.32 ERA and 48 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against Baltimore this year (four starts).
The Orioles are handing the ball to righty David Hess (0-0, ERA), who’s got zero strikeouts and zero walks to his name, as well as a WHIP. Hess has yet to face the Rays this year and did not pitch in the majors last season.
Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 5.71 ERA, 1.60 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.40 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 13 games against divisional opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.95 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.21.
Baltimore’s hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .292/.339/.544 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Orioles’ hitters have been led by Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez. Machado is slashing .354/.440/.667 with 12 home runs, 35 RBIs and 21 runs scored, and Alvarez is hitting .200 with seven homers, 14 RBIs and 14 runs.
Machado especially enjoyed batting against righties at home in 2017. Over 265 such plate appearances, he slashed .286/.355/.534 (his overall season line was .260/.311/.473).
In the visiting dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.25 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.44 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.42, along with a K-per-9 of 8.91.
The Rays offense has slashed .263/.335/.397 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Tampa Bay’s hitters have been led by second baseman Daniel Robertson and catcher Wilson Ramos. Robertson is slashing .289/.433/.470 with 24 hits, eight RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Ramos is hitting .308/.357/.471 with 32 hits, four homers, 18 RBIs and 10 runs scored.
The Rays have lost 4.5 units and are 9-12 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 11.6 units and are 9-15 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 10 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under.
Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Rays have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 13 over their last 10.
Tampa Bay fielders have committed zero errors over their last five games, compared to five errors for Baltimore over its last five.
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