The Tampa Bay Rays will be taking on their division rival Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the matchup and the game gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
Baltimore (+130) is coming into this one as the underdog against Tampa Bay (-140) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Runline odds sit at +105 for taking the Rays -1.5 runs and -125 for the Orioles +1.5.
The Rays have gone 53-50 SU this year and are 58-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 8.8 units for moneyline bettors and 15.1 units ATS. Tampa Bay is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 29-74 SU and 41-61 ATS. The team has lost 39.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 27.8 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Orioles games have had an over/under record of 41-57-4 in 2018. The Rays have also been a good under bet with a total record of 43-56-3.
Chris Archer will get the nod for Tampa Bay. The right-handed Archer is 3-4 with a 4.30 ERA and 99 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 11 strikeouts and a 7.30 ERA against Baltimore this year (two starts).
The Orioles will turn to righty Andrew Cashner (2-9, 4.40 ERA), who has 83 strikeouts and 44 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.50. Cashner is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA in one start against Tampa Bay this year.
Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.75 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.03 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.64, along with a K-per-9 of 8.20.
Rays hitters have slashed .254/.326/.395 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Third baseman Matt Duffy and first baseman C.J. Cron continue to lead Tampa Bay’s hitters. Duffy is slashing .301/.355/.392 with four home runs, 28 RBIs and 34 runs scored, while Cron (.254/.327/.477) has produced 20 homers, 51 RBIs and 48 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 5.29 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.22 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 42 divisional games, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.98 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.75.
The Baltimore offense has produced 3.6 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .262/.319/.429 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Orioles’ hitters have been led by shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones. Machado is slashing .315/.387/.575 with 24 home runs, 65 RBIs, 48 runs and eight stolen bases, while Jones has put up a line of .277/.304/.421 with 10 homers, 38 RBIs and 39 runs.
The Rays have gained 0.1 units and are 38-33 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 33 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 34.6 units and are 23-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 26 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve cashed the under.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in three of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
The Rays have won four of their last five games SU.
Tampa Bay has posted 25.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.6 over its last five.
The Rays have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 13 over their last 10.
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