The Tampa Bay Rays will take on their division rival Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the matchup. The game is scheduled to get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Baltimore (-135) as the favorite over Tampa Bay (+125). The total sits at 8 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 and the under for even money (+100). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Rays +1.5 runs (-170) and Orioles +-1.5 runs (+150).
The Rays have gone 9-13 SU this year and are 11-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.8 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season, despite having gained 1.6 units ATS. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 6-18 SU and 8-15 ATS. The team has lost 9.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.7 units ATS.
Baltimore games have an over/under record of 9-13-1 so far in 2018. Tampa Bay has been a decent over bet with a total record of 14-7.
Chris Archer is getting the start for Tampa Bay. The right-handed Archer is 1-1 with a 6.59 ERA and 29 strikeouts. He has yet to face Baltimore this year, but he made four starts against the Orioles in 2017, compiling a 2-2 record against them with a 5.91 ERA and 17 strikeouts.
The Orioles are putting the ball in the right hand of Dylan Bundy (1-2, 1.42 ERA, 1.11 WHIP), who has 40 strikeouts and nine walks this season. Bundy made three starts against the Rays in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record with a 5.19 ERA.
Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.60 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.61 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.87, along with a K-per-9 of 8.42.
Rays hitters have slashed .257/.334/.385 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Tampa Bay’s hitters have been led by second baseman Daniel Robertson and second baseman Joey Wendle. Robertson is slashing .340/.500/.574 with 16 hits, five RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Wendle (.328/.400/.492) has produced 20 hits, eight RBIs and 11 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 5.24, a WHIP of 1.58 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.57 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.0 K/9. In 11 divisional games, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.77 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.24.
The Baltimore hitters are putting up 3.2 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .169/.224/.305 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Orioles’ batters have been led by shortstop Manny Machado and outfielder Trey Mancini. Machado is hitting .344/.430/.677 with eight home runs, 17 RBIs and 13 runs scored, and Mancini’s line is .271/.344/.400 with 23 hits, seven RBIs and 11 runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .260/.311/.473, Machado seemed to enjoy hitting righties at home in 2017, slashing .286/.355/.534 over 265 such plate appearances.
The Rays have lost 4.0 units and are 5-8 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in nine of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 6.2 units and are 5-10 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in five of those games, as opposed to 10 that’ve gone under.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in four of Baltimore’s last seven games.
The Orioles have lost 10 of their last 11 games SU.
Tampa Bay has posted 26.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 31.6 over its last five.
Each team has hit 11 home runs over its last 10 games.
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