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Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Betting Preview 06/17/18

Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Rays are ready to take on their divisional rival New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Fox Sports Sun will broadcast the matchup and the first pitch will be at 2:05 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees Odds

New York (-220) is hosting this game as the favorite over Tampa Bay (+200) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -110 for the Rays +1.5 runs and -110 for the Yankees -1.5.

The Yankees are 46-20 straight up (SU) and 36-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 12.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.6 units (ATS). The Rays are 32-38 SU and have gone 37-32 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 4.4 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 3.8 units ATS.

New York games have an over/under record of 31-31-3 thus far in 2018. Tampa Bay has an over/under record of 31-36-2.

The right-handed Wilmer Font is the projected starter for Tampa Bay. Font (0-3, 8.48 ERA) has recorded 24 strikeouts in 28.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA against New York this year.

The Yankees are putting the ball in the left hand of CC Sabathia (4-1, 3.27 ERA, 1.18 WHIP), who has 47 punchouts and 18 walks this season. Sabathia has yet to face the Rays this year, but he made four starts against them in 2017, posting a spotless 2-0 record with a 2.89 ERA and 17 strikeouts.

As a unit, New York’s pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.75 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.90, a WHIP of 1.12 and a K/9 of 12.1. In 27 divisional games, Yankees starters have an ERA of 3.83 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.15.

The New York hitters are putting up 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .250/.304/.481 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Yankees’ hitters have been led by Aaron Judge and Miguel Andujar. Judge is hitting .283/.399/.574 with 18 home runs, 46 RBIs and 49 runs scored, while Andujar’s line is .298/.326/.528 with eight homers, 28 RBIs and 30 runs.

For the visitors, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.15 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.47 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.73, along with a K-per-9 of 8.28.

Rays hitters have slashed .252/.324/.389 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 1.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Matt Duffy and first baseman C.J. Cron continue to lead Tampa Bay’s hitters. Duffy is slashing .311/.350/.429 with four home runs, 20 RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Cron (.244/.325/.457) is up to 15 homers, 36 RBIs and 37 runs scored.

The Rays have gained 2.4 units and are 15-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 3.8 units and are 26-19 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 24 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under.

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in zero of New York’s last seven games.

Tampa Bay has posted 18.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 12.6 over its last five.

The Rays have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 18 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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